La Tribu de Cd. Juarez vs Real Refineros: prediction and stats
Liga Premier Serie AApertura - 13Kick-off on November 22, 2026 at 12:00 AM (UTC)
The Footlab AI model makes La Tribu de Cd. Juarez the favourite at 80%, against 12% for a draw and 8% for Real Refineros. The most likely score is 3-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 6,408 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win La Tribu de Cd. Juarez vs Real Refineros?
On Elo ratings, La Tribu de Cd. Juarez has 1,929 points and Real Refineros 1,883.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for La Tribu de Cd. Juarez vs Real Refineros
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
La Tribu de Cd. Juarez
Not enough data to predict the La Tribu de Cd. Juarez lineup.
Real Refineros
Not enough data to predict the Real Refineros lineup.
Computed on November 15, 2026 at 07:51 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 12 matches in all competitions, La Tribu de Cd. Juarez have 8 wins, 0 draws and 4 defeats; Real Refineros have 4, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 14, 2026 | Ciervos(away) | 7-0 | Liga Premier Serie A |
| Nov 8, 2026 | Cañoneros Marina(home) | 8-0 | Liga Premier Serie A |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Delfines Coatzacoalcos(away) | 1-3 | Liga Premier Serie A |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Artesanos Metepec(home) | 2-0 | Liga Premier Serie A |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Héroes de Zaci(home) | 5-0 | Liga Premier Serie A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 14, 2026 | Atlético Saltillo(home) | 4-1 | Liga Premier Serie A |
| Nov 7, 2026 | Acatlan(away) | 3-1 | Liga Premier Serie A |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Guerreros(home) | 3-2 | Liga Premier Serie A |
| Oct 27, 2026 | FC Santiago(away) | 0-6 | Liga Premier Serie A |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Guerreros del Pacifico(home) | 3-3 | Liga Premier Serie A |
How many goals should we expect?
La Tribu de Cd. Juarez score 3.2 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 12; Real Refineros score 1.9 and concede 2.2. The model gives a 81% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| La Tribu de Cd. Juarez | 3.2 | 1.1 | 5 | 6/12 | 10/12 |
| Real Refineros | 1.9 | 2.2 | 2 | 8/12 | 9/12 |
Over the last 12 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
La Tribu de Cd. Juarez sit 4th in Liga Premier Serie A (22 points from 11 matches) and Real Refineros sit 8th (15 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | La Tribu de Cd. Juarez | 11 | 7 | 0 | 4 | 31 | 13 | 22 |
| 8 | Real Refineros | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 20 | 25 | 15 |
A question about La Tribu de Cd. Juarez vs Real Refineros?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for La Tribu de Cd. Juarez vs Real Refineros?
- The Footlab AI model makes La Tribu de Cd. Juarez the favourite at 80%, against 12% for a draw and 8% for Real Refineros.
- Where and when is La Tribu de Cd. Juarez vs Real Refineros played?
- La Tribu de Cd. Juarez vs Real Refineros is played on November 22, 2026 at 12:00 AM (UTC), in the Liga Premier Serie A.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 81% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Nov 20, 2026Héroes de ZacivsDelfines Coatzacoalcos
- Nov 21, 2026FC SantiagovsDragones de Oaxaca
- Nov 21, 2026AcatlanvsGuerreros del Pacifico
- Nov 21, 2026Correcaminos UAT IIvsCañoneros Marina
- Nov 21, 2026Mineros de FresnillovsArtesanos Metepec
- Nov 21, 2026Atlético SaltillovsHalcones Negros
- Nov 22, 2026Vaqueros ReynosavsCiervos
- Nov 22, 2026Real ApodacavsAcambaro