Real Santander vs Ind. Yumbo: prediction and stats
Primera BClausura - 6Kick-off on August 24, 2026 at 08:30 PM (UTC)Estadio de Fútbol Erwin O'Neil, San Andrés y Providencia
The Footlab model makes Ind. Yumbo the favourite at 47%, against 29% for a draw and 24% for Real Santander. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Real Santander vs Ind. Yumbo?
Ind. Yumbo starts as the favourite with a 239-point Elo edge (1,578 vs 1,339).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Real Santander have 0 wins, 4 draws and 11 defeats; Ind. Yumbo have 4, 5 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | Barranquilla(home) | 2-2 | Primera B |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Depor FC(away) | 2-2 | Primera B |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Patriotas(home) | 2-2 | Primera B |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Real Cartagena(away) | 1-5 | Primera B |
| May 24, 2026 | Deportivo Cali(home) | 1-2 | Copa Colombia |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 7, 2026 | Real Cartagena(away) | 2-0 | Primera B |
| Aug 3, 2026 | Envigado(home) | 1-1 | Primera B |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Depor FC(away) | 2-0 | Primera B |
| May 21, 2026 | Jaguares(away) | 0-3 | Copa Colombia |
| May 18, 2026 | Águilas Doradas(home) | 1-4 | Copa Colombia |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Real Santander win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Ind. Yumbo win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 24, 2026 | Ind. Yumbo 1-1 Real Santander | Primera B |
Last archived meeting: Ind. Yumbo vs Real Santander on Feb 24, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Real Santander score 0.7 and concede 2.5 goals per match over their last 15; Ind. Yumbo score 0.8 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 41% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Santander | 0.7 | 2.5 | 0 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
| Ind. Yumbo | 0.8 | 1.3 | 4 | 6/15 | 3/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Real Santander sit 16th in Primera B (7 points from 15 matches) and Ind. Yumbo sit 9th (19 points from 15 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ind. Yumbo | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 7 |
| 3 | Ind. Yumbo | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 7 |
| 9 | Ind. Yumbo | 15 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 13 | 14 | 19 |
| 9 | Ind. Yumbo | 15 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 13 | 14 | 19 |
| 9 | Ind. Yumbo | 18 | 6 | 8 | 4 | 18 | 15 | 26 |
| 11 | Real Santander | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 11 | 3 |
| 13 | Real Santander | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 9 | 2 |
| 16 | Real Santander | 15 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 9 | 23 | 7 |
| 16 | Real Santander | 15 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 9 | 23 | 7 |
| 16 | Real Santander | 19 | 1 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 34 | 10 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Real Santander vs Ind. Yumbo?
- The Footlab model makes Ind. Yumbo the favourite at 47%, against 29% for a draw and 24% for Real Santander.
- Where and when is Real Santander vs Ind. Yumbo played?
- Real Santander vs Ind. Yumbo is played on August 24, 2026 at 08:30 PM (UTC) at Estadio de Fútbol Erwin O'Neil, in the Primera B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 41% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.