Ind. Yumbo vs Leones FC: prediction and stats
Primera BClausura - 7Kick-off on August 28, 2026 at 08:30 PM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes Ind. Yumbo the favourite at 52%, against 29% for a draw and 19% for Leones FC. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ind. Yumbo vs Leones FC?
Ind. Yumbo starts as the favourite with a 129-point Elo edge (1,559 vs 1,430).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ind. Yumbo have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Leones FC have 4, 5 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | Real Santander(away) | 0-1 | Primera B |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Real Cartagena(away) | 2-0 | Primera B |
| Aug 3, 2026 | Envigado(home) | 1-1 | Primera B |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Depor FC(away) | 2-0 | Primera B |
| May 21, 2026 | Jaguares(away) | 0-3 | Copa Colombia |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | Real Cartagena(home) | 1-6 | Primera B |
| Aug 20, 2026 | Real Soacha(home) | 1-1 | Primera B |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Bogota FC(away) | 1-0 | Primera B |
| Aug 3, 2026 | Quindio(home) | 1-1 | Primera B |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Tigres FC(away) | 1-0 | Primera B |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 1 Ind. Yumbo win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Leones FC win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2026 | Leones FC 0-2 Ind. Yumbo | Primera B |
Last archived meeting: Leones FC vs Ind. Yumbo on Feb 27, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Ind. Yumbo score 0.7 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Leones FC score 0.8 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 35% probability of over 2.5 goals and 39% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ind. Yumbo | 0.7 | 1.3 | 4 | 5/15 | 3/15 |
| Leones FC | 0.8 | 1.4 | 6 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ind. Yumbo sit 9th in Primera B (19 points from 15 matches) and Leones FC sit 14th (10 points from 15 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ind. Yumbo | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 7 |
| 2 | Leones FC | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 7 |
| 4 | Leones FC | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 8 | 8 |
| 5 | Ind. Yumbo | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 7 |
| 9 | Ind. Yumbo | 15 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 13 | 14 | 19 |
| 9 | Ind. Yumbo | 15 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 13 | 14 | 19 |
| 9 | Ind. Yumbo | 19 | 6 | 8 | 5 | 18 | 16 | 26 |
| 13 | Leones FC | 20 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 13 | 32 | 18 |
| 14 | Leones FC | 15 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 8 | 24 | 10 |
| 14 | Leones FC | 15 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 8 | 24 | 10 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ind. Yumbo vs Leones FC?
- The Footlab model makes Ind. Yumbo the favourite at 52%, against 29% for a draw and 19% for Leones FC.
- Where and when is Ind. Yumbo vs Leones FC played?
- Ind. Yumbo vs Leones FC is played on August 28, 2026 at 08:30 PM (UTC), in the Primera B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 35% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.