Real Soacha vs Bogota FC: prediction and stats
Primera BClausura - 13Kick-off on October 7, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes Real Soacha the favourite at 48%, against 30% for a draw and 22% for Bogota FC. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Real Soacha vs Bogota FC?
Real Soacha starts as the favourite with a 119-point Elo edge (1,575 vs 1,456).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Real Soacha have 3 wins, 7 draws and 5 defeats; Bogota FC have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | Orsomarso(away) | 0-2 | Primera B |
| Aug 20, 2026 | Leones FC(away) | 1-1 | Primera B |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Popayan(home) | 3-1 | Primera B |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Real Cartagena(home) | 1-1 | Primera B |
| Jul 27, 2026 | Envigado(away) | 0-1 | Primera B |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2026 | Popayan(away) | 2-1 | Primera B |
| Aug 20, 2026 | Real Cartagena(away) | 0-2 | Primera B |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Leones FC(home) | 0-1 | Primera B |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Internacional Palmira(away) | 0-0 | Primera B |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Deportivo Pasto(home) | 0-3 | Copa Colombia |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Real Soacha win(s), 4 draw(s), 1 Bogota FC win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 1, 2026 | Bogota FC 2-2 Real Soacha | Primera B |
| Oct 12, 2025 | Bogota FC 0-3 Real Soacha | Primera B |
| May 6, 2025 | Real Soacha 1-2 Bogota FC | Primera B |
| Sep 22, 2024 | Bogota FC 2-2 Real Soacha | Primera B |
| Apr 20, 2024 | Real Soacha 2-2 Bogota FC | Primera B |
| Sep 21, 2023 | Bogota FC 0-0 Real Soacha | Primera B |
Last archived meeting: Bogota FC vs Real Soacha on Apr 1, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Real Soacha score 1.1 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Bogota FC score 0.7 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 34% probability of over 2.5 goals and 40% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Soacha | 1.1 | 1.3 | 2 | 9/15 | 6/15 |
| Bogota FC | 0.7 | 1.1 | 5 | 5/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Real Soacha sit 13th in Primera B (13 points from 15 matches) and Bogota FC sit 6th (23 points from 15 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Bogota FC | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 3 |
| 5 | Real Soacha | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 4 |
| 6 | Bogota FC | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 16 | 14 | 23 |
| 6 | Bogota FC | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 16 | 14 | 23 |
| 6 | Bogota FC | 26 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 22 | 26 | 33 |
| 7 | Bogota FC | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 7 |
| 8 | Bogota FC | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
| 10 | Real Soacha | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 5 |
| 12 | Real Soacha | 20 | 3 | 9 | 8 | 19 | 25 | 18 |
| 13 | Real Soacha | 15 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 14 | 19 | 13 |
| 13 | Real Soacha | 15 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 14 | 19 | 13 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Real Soacha vs Bogota FC?
- The Footlab model makes Real Soacha the favourite at 48%, against 30% for a draw and 22% for Bogota FC.
- Where and when is Real Soacha vs Bogota FC played?
- Real Soacha vs Bogota FC is played on October 7, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC), in the Primera B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 34% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.