Envigado vs Real Santander: prediction and stats
Primera BClausura - 13Kick-off on October 15, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Polideportivo Sur, Envigado
The Footlab AI model makes Envigado the favourite at 67%, against 23% for a draw and 10% for Real Santander. The most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,365 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Envigado vs Real Santander?
Envigado starts as the favourite with a 223-point Elo edge (1,597 vs 1,374).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Envigado vs Real Santander
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Envigado
4-3-3- 9Ángelo Rodríguez
- 77D. Valencia
- 7D. Dawson
- 19S. Acuña
- 6J. Palacios
- 99Miguel Marulanda
- 15G. Cuervo
- 28J. Gamboa
- 17Y. Rodallega
- 2D. Palacios
- 88A. Tovar
Real Santander
4-3-3- 25A. Segura
- 27J. Guillen
- 37J. Delgado
- 11M. Perez
- 29J. Carrasco
- 23B. Moreno
- 5J. Holguín
- 31D. Tapia
- 26B. Roman
- 14J. P. Garcia Habib
- 1J. Lazaro
Computed on October 13, 2026 at 10:19 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Envigado have 2 wins, 8 draws and 5 defeats; Real Santander have 3, 6 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Internacional Palmira(home) | 1-1 | Primera B |
| Oct 5, 2026 | Bogota FC(away) | 3-3 | Primera B |
| Oct 1, 2026 | Orsomarso(home) | 0-0 | Primera B |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Depor FC(home) | 3-0 | Primera B |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Real Cartagena(away) | 0-0 | Primera B |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2026 | Real Soacha(away) | 1-0 | Primera B |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Union Magdalena(home) | 1-3 | Primera B |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Tigres FC(away) | 1-1 | Primera B |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Orsomarso(home) | 0-0 | Primera B |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Popayan(away) | 0-2 | Primera B |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 1 Envigado win, 0 draws, 0 Real Santander wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 31, 2026 | Real Santander 1-3 Envigado | Primera B |
Last archived meeting: Real Santander vs Envigado on Mar 31, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Envigado score 0.9 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Real Santander score 1.0 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 43% probability of over 2.5 goals and 37% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Envigado | 0.9 | 1.3 | 4 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| Real Santander | 1.0 | 1.7 | 4 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Envigado sit 2nd in Primera B (57 points from 35 matches) and Real Santander sit 15th (22 points from 27 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Envigado | 35 | 15 | 12 | 8 | 47 | 32 | 57 |
| 15 | Real Santander | 27 | 4 | 10 | 13 | 23 | 41 | 22 |
A question about Envigado vs Real Santander?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Envigado vs Real Santander?
- The Footlab AI model makes Envigado the favourite at 67%, against 23% for a draw and 10% for Real Santander.
- Where and when is Envigado vs Real Santander played?
- Envigado vs Real Santander is played on October 15, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Polideportivo Sur, in the Primera B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 43% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.