Sporting Gijon vs Las Palmas: prediction and stats
Segunda DivisiónRegular Season - 15Kick-off on November 22, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal El Molinón, Gijón
The Footlab AI model makes Sporting Gijon the favourite at 55%, against 24% for a draw and 21% for Las Palmas. The most likely score is 1-1. If Sporting Gijon wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,846 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 19, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Sporting Gijon vs Las Palmas?
On Elo ratings, Sporting Gijon has 1,994 points and Las Palmas 1,973.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Sporting Gijon vs Las Palmas
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Sporting Gijon
4-4-2- 27Enol Prendes
- 16A. Sarco
- 14Álex Corredera
- 8M. Rodriguez
- 10César Gelabert
- 7Gaspar Campos
- 2Guille Rosas
- 44Andrés Cuenca
- 23Jorge Sáenz
- 4E. Gularte
- 1Rubén Yáñez
Las Palmas
5-4-1- 7Jefté Betancor
- 11T. Miyashiro
- 20Kirian Rodríguez
- 24Iván Jaime
- 6Iñaki González Zambrano
- 25Valentín Pezzolesi
- 4Álex Suárez
- 15Juan Herzog
- 23A. Rodriguez
- 21G. Bonfanti
- 13José Caro
Computed on October 19, 2026 at 06:42 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sporting Gijon have 8 wins, 1 draw and 6 defeats; Las Palmas have 5, 2 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Albacete(home) | 2-1 | Segunda División |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Cadiz(away) | 1-0 | Segunda División |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Celta de Vigo II(home) | 3-2 | Segunda División |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Oviedo(away) | 0-2 | Segunda División |
| Sep 19, 2026 | FC Andorra(away) | 3-1 | Segunda División |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Castellón(home) | 0-3 | Segunda División |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Mallorca(away) | 1-3 | Segunda División |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Valladolid(home) | 2-2 | Segunda División |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Eibar(away) | 2-3 | Segunda División |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Burgos(home) | 1-2 | Segunda División |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Sporting Gijon wins, 2 draws, 4 Las Palmas wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2026 | Las Palmas 1-0 Sporting Gijon | Segunda División |
| Nov 2, 2025 | Sporting Gijon 0-0 Las Palmas | Segunda División |
| Mar 26, 2023 | Las Palmas 1-1 Sporting Gijon | Segunda División |
| Dec 3, 2022 | Sporting Gijon 0-1 Las Palmas | Segunda División |
| May 29, 2022 | Sporting Gijon 0-1 Las Palmas | Segunda División |
| Dec 5, 2021 | Las Palmas 1-0 Sporting Gijon | Segunda División |
Last archived meeting: Las Palmas vs Sporting Gijon on Mar 22, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Sporting Gijon score 1.4 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Las Palmas score 1.3 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sporting Gijon | 1.4 | 1.3 | 5 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
| Las Palmas | 1.3 | 1.7 | 3 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Sporting Gijon sit 4th in Segunda División (19 points from 10 matches) and Las Palmas sit 16th (11 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Sporting Gijon | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 9 | 19 |
| 16 | Las Palmas | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 19 | 11 |
A question about Sporting Gijon vs Las Palmas?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Sporting Gijon vs Las Palmas?
- The Footlab AI model makes Sporting Gijon the favourite at 55%, against 24% for a draw and 21% for Las Palmas.
- Where and when is Sporting Gijon vs Las Palmas played?
- Sporting Gijon vs Las Palmas is played on November 22, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal El Molinón, in the Segunda División.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.