Sporting Gijon vs Las Palmas: prediction and stats
Segunda DivisiónRegular Season - 15Kick-off on November 22, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal El Molinón, Gijón
The Footlab model makes Sporting Gijon the favourite at 44%, against 27% for a draw and 29% for Las Palmas. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Sporting Gijon vs Las Palmas?
A very open match: only 51 Elo points separate Sporting Gijon (1,967) and Las Palmas (2,018).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sporting Gijon have 7 wins, 1 draws and 7 defeats; Las Palmas have 8, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Burgos(home) | 1-0 | Segunda División |
| Aug 17, 2026 | Sabadell(home) | 0-0 | Segunda División |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Valladolid(home) | 2-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Racing Santander(away) | 1-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Gimnástica Torrelavega(home) | 5-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | AD Ceuta FC(away) | 2-0 | Segunda División |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Albacete(home) | 2-1 | Segunda División |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Cadiz(away) | 3-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 31, 2026 | NEOM(home) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 28, 2026 | União de Leiria(home) | 3-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Sporting Gijon win(s), 2 draw(s), 4 Las Palmas win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2026 | Las Palmas 1-0 Sporting Gijon | Segunda División |
| Nov 2, 2025 | Sporting Gijon 0-0 Las Palmas | Segunda División |
| Mar 26, 2023 | Las Palmas 1-1 Sporting Gijon | Segunda División |
| Dec 3, 2022 | Sporting Gijon 0-1 Las Palmas | Segunda División |
| May 29, 2022 | Sporting Gijon 0-1 Las Palmas | Segunda División |
| Dec 5, 2021 | Las Palmas 1-0 Sporting Gijon | Segunda División |
Last archived meeting: Las Palmas vs Sporting Gijon on Mar 22, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Sporting Gijon score 1.7 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Las Palmas score 1.5 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sporting Gijon | 1.7 | 1.4 | 4 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
| Las Palmas | 1.5 | 1.3 | 1 | 11/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Sporting Gijon sit 4th in Segunda División (4 points from 2 matches) and Las Palmas sit 1st (6 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Las Palmas | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 6 |
| 4 | Sporting Gijon | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Sporting Gijon vs Las Palmas?
- The Footlab model makes Sporting Gijon the favourite at 44%, against 27% for a draw and 29% for Las Palmas.
- Where and when is Sporting Gijon vs Las Palmas played?
- Sporting Gijon vs Las Palmas is played on November 22, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal El Molinón, in the Segunda División.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.