Celta de Vigo II vs Valladolid: prediction and stats
Segunda DivisiónRegular Season - 15Kick-off on November 22, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Campo de Fútbol Municipal de Barreiro, Vigo
The Footlab AI model makes Celta de Vigo II the favourite at 38%, against 27% for a draw and 35% for Valladolid. The most likely score is 1-1. If Celta de Vigo II wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.1% of the 5,430 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 11, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Celta de Vigo II vs Valladolid?
A very open match: only 39 Elo points separate Celta de Vigo II (1,937) and Valladolid (1,898).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Celta de Vigo II vs Valladolid
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Celta de Vigo II
3-4-2-1- 9A. Marin
- 16Adrià Capdevila
- 11Ángel Arcos
- 15A. Kibet
- 29M. Sobral
- 10O. Marcos
- 23G. Miller
- 3K. Ribes
- 18Joel López
- 4S. M. Ndiaye
- 1Coke Carrillo
Valladolid
4-3-3- 19Adrian Arnuncio
- 30Víctor Fernández
- 23T. Abed
- 21J. Ponceau
- 24S. Jurić
- 8T. Ojeda
- 14Iván Alejo
- 4David Torres
- 12Miguel Rubio
- 27Iván Garriel
- 1Álvaro Aceves
Computed on November 11, 2026 at 11:47 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Celta de Vigo II have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Valladolid have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | Burgos(away) | 1-2 | Segunda División |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Cordoba(home) | 2-2 | Segunda División |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Girona(away) | 1-5 | Segunda División |
| Oct 19, 2026 | Tenerife(home) | 1-1 | Segunda División |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Real Sociedad II(home) | 4-1 | Segunda División |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | Sporting Gijon(away) | 2-1 | Segunda División |
| Nov 2, 2026 | Leganes(home) | 4-3 | Segunda División |
| Oct 29, 2026 | Covadonga(away) | 1-0 | Copa del Rey |
| Oct 23, 2026 | Granada CF(away) | 1-2 | Segunda División |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Eldense(home) | 2-3 | Segunda División |
How many goals should we expect?
Celta de Vigo II score 1.6 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Valladolid score 1.8 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Celta de Vigo II | 1.6 | 1.7 | 3 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
| Valladolid | 1.8 | 1.5 | 3 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Celta de Vigo II sit 16th in Segunda División (13 points from 13 matches) and Valladolid sit 12th (18 points from 13 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Valladolid | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 22 | 20 | 18 |
| 16 | Celta de Vigo II | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 19 | 25 | 13 |
A question about Celta de Vigo II vs Valladolid?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Celta de Vigo II vs Valladolid?
- The Footlab AI model makes Celta de Vigo II the favourite at 38%, against 27% for a draw and 35% for Valladolid.
- Where and when is Celta de Vigo II vs Valladolid played?
- Celta de Vigo II vs Valladolid is played on November 22, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Campo de Fútbol Municipal de Barreiro, in the Segunda División.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.1% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.