Girona vs Eibar: prediction and stats
Segunda DivisiónRegular Season - 15Kick-off on November 22, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadi Municipal de Montilivi, Girona
The Footlab AI model makes Girona the favourite at 41%, against 27% for a draw and 32% for Eibar. The most likely score is 1-1. If Girona wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,366 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Girona vs Eibar?
A very open match: only 28 Elo points separate Girona (1,976) and Eibar (2,003).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Girona vs Eibar
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Girona
4-4-2- 9Abel Ruiz
- 19V. Vanat
- 24I. Gonzalez
- 23Carles Pérez
- 8Fran Beltrán
- 22Y. Asprilla
- 11Álex Moreno
- 16Alejandro Francés
- 4Javier Boñar
- 5David López
- 13P. Gazzaniga
Eibar
4-2-3-1- 9Jon Bautista
- 30Aleix Garrido
- 8Ander Madariaga
- 7Malcom Adu
- 10Jon Guruzeta
- 11Jon Magunazelaia
- 23Anaitz Arbilla
- 4Unai Elgezabal
- 24Juan Bernat
- 22Álvaro Rodríguez
- 13Jon Mikel
Computed on October 13, 2026 at 09:38 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Girona have 5 wins, 6 draws and 4 defeats; Eibar have 9, 3 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 12, 2026 | Tenerife(away) | 1-1 | Segunda División |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Mallorca(home) | 0-0 | Segunda División |
| Sep 25, 2026 | Albacete(home) | 2-0 | Segunda División |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Cadiz(away) | 2-1 | Segunda División |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Castellón(home) | 1-2 | Segunda División |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 12, 2026 | Oviedo(away) | 1-3 | Segunda División |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Albacete(away) | 3-1 | Segunda División |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Las Palmas(home) | 3-2 | Segunda División |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Eldense(away) | 2-1 | Segunda División |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Celta de Vigo II(away) | 4-0 | Segunda División |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Girona win, 0 draws, 5 Eibar wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 5, 2022 | Eibar 0-2 Girona | Segunda División |
| Jun 2, 2022 | Girona 0-1 Eibar | Segunda División |
| Feb 19, 2022 | Girona 0-1 Eibar | Segunda División |
| Nov 29, 2021 | Eibar 4-2 Girona | Segunda División |
| Feb 3, 2019 | Eibar 3-0 Girona | La Liga |
| Oct 6, 2018 | Girona 2-3 Eibar | La Liga |
How many goals should we expect?
Girona score 1.7 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Eibar score 2.0 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Girona | 1.7 | 1.4 | 3 | 11/15 | 8/15 |
| Eibar | 2.0 | 1.1 | 6 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Girona sit 7th in Segunda División (15 points from 9 matches) and Eibar sit 2nd (21 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Eibar | 9 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 10 | 21 |
| 7 | Girona | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 15 | 9 | 15 |
A question about Girona vs Eibar?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Girona vs Eibar?
- The Footlab AI model makes Girona the favourite at 41%, against 27% for a draw and 32% for Eibar.
- Where and when is Girona vs Eibar played?
- Girona vs Eibar is played on November 22, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadi Municipal de Montilivi, in the Segunda División.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.