Real Unión de Tenerife vs Laguna de Duero: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 12Group 12 - 5Kick-off on October 4, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes Real Unión de Tenerife the favourite at 67%, against 21% for a draw and 12% for Laguna de Duero. The most likely score is 2-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Real Unión de Tenerife vs Laguna de Duero?
Real Unión de Tenerife starts as the favourite with a 211-point Elo edge (1,756 vs 1,545).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Real Unión de Tenerife have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Laguna de Duero have 3, 3 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Lanzarote(away) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| May 3, 2026 | Tamaraceite(home) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Herbania(away) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Las Palmas III(home) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Panadería Pulido(away) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2025 | Cultural Leonesa II(home) | 1-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| May 4, 2025 | Cristo Atlético(away) | 1-4 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| May 1, 2025 | Mirandés II(home) | 1-4 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Apr 26, 2025 | Atlético Mansillés(away) | 0-5 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Apr 20, 2025 | Ciudad Rodrigo(home) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
How many goals should we expect?
Real Unión de Tenerife score 1.0 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Laguna de Duero score 0.9 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 45% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Unión de Tenerife | 1.0 | 0.7 | 6 | 3/15 | 3/15 |
| Laguna de Duero | 0.9 | 2.1 | 3 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Real Unión de Tenerife | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 34 | 32 | 45 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Real Unión de Tenerife vs Laguna de Duero?
- The Footlab model makes Real Unión de Tenerife the favourite at 67%, against 21% for a draw and 12% for Laguna de Duero.
- Where and when is Real Unión de Tenerife vs Laguna de Duero played?
- Real Unión de Tenerife vs Laguna de Duero is played on October 4, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC), in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 12.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.