San Bartolomé vs Villa Santa Brígida: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 12Group 12 - 5Kick-off on October 4, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal Pedro Espinosa De León, San Bartolomé
The Footlab model makes Villa Santa Brígida the favourite at 36%, against 30% for a draw and 34% for San Bartolomé. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win San Bartolomé vs Villa Santa Brígida?
A very open match: only 47 Elo points separate San Bartolomé (1,707) and Villa Santa Brígida (1,754).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, San Bartolomé have 4 wins, 7 draws and 4 defeats; Villa Santa Brígida have 7, 2 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Tenerife C(away) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| May 3, 2026 | Lanzarote(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Apr 25, 2026 | UD San Fernando(home) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Arucas(away) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Villa Santa Brígida(home) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 8, 2026 | Telde(away) | 3-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| May 1, 2026 | Marino(home) | 3-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Mensajero(away) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Tenerife C(home) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Apr 11, 2026 | San Bartolomé(away) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 San Bartolomé win(s), 3 draw(s), 1 Villa Santa Brígida win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 11, 2026 | San Bartolomé 2-1 Villa Santa Brígida | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Dec 6, 2025 | Villa Santa Brígida 1-1 San Bartolomé | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Mar 8, 2025 | Villa Santa Brígida 3-3 San Bartolomé | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Oct 26, 2024 | San Bartolomé 2-0 Villa Santa Brígida | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Feb 17, 2024 | Villa Santa Brígida 3-0 San Bartolomé | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Sep 30, 2023 | San Bartolomé 1-1 Villa Santa Brígida | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
Last archived meeting: San Bartolomé vs Villa Santa Brígida on Apr 11, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
San Bartolomé score 1.1 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Villa Santa Brígida score 1.3 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 39% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| San Bartolomé | 1.1 | 1.3 | 5 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Villa Santa Brígida | 1.3 | 1.1 | 4 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
San Bartolomé sit 14th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 (36 points from 34 matches) and Villa Santa Brígida sit 8th (50 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Villa Santa Brígida | 34 | 15 | 5 | 14 | 42 | 35 | 50 |
| 14 | San Bartolomé | 34 | 8 | 12 | 14 | 30 | 55 | 36 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for San Bartolomé vs Villa Santa Brígida?
- The Footlab model makes Villa Santa Brígida the favourite at 36%, against 30% for a draw and 34% for San Bartolomé.
- Where and when is San Bartolomé vs Villa Santa Brígida played?
- San Bartolomé vs Villa Santa Brígida is played on October 4, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal Pedro Espinosa De León, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 12.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 39% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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