Where and when is Marino vs Playas Sotavento played?

Marino vs Playas Sotavento is played on October 4, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Antonio Domínguez Alfonso, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 12.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Marino vs Playas Sotavento: prediction and stats

Tercera División RFEF - Group 12Group 12 - 5Kick-off on October 4, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Antonio Domínguez Alfonso, Los Cristianos (Tenerife)

Marino

Playas Sotavento

The Footlab model makes Marino the favourite at 48%, against 28% for a draw and 24% for Playas Sotavento. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Limited history for at least one of the two teams: read this prediction with caution.

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Marino vs Playas Sotavento?

A very open match: only 41 Elo points separate Marino (1,704) and Playas Sotavento (1,745).

Marino win48 %

Draw28 %

Playas Sotavento win24 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Marino have 0 wins, 10 draws and 5 defeats; Playas Sotavento have 0, 1 and 0.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Marino
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Jul 26, 2026	Tenerife(home)	0-6	Friendlies Clubs
May 10, 2026	Arucas(home)	1-2	Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
May 1, 2026	Villa Santa Brígida(away)	0-3	Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
Apr 26, 2026	Unión Sur Yaiza(home)	0-0	Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
Apr 18, 2026	San Miguel(away)	0-2	Tercera División RFEF - Group 12

Playas Sotavento
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Oct 9, 2024	Gévora(away)	1-1	Copa del Rey

How many goals should we expect?

Marino score 0.7 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Playas Sotavento score 1.0 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Marino	0.7	1.5	3	8/15	5/15
Playas Sotavento	1.0	1.0	0	1/1	0/1

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
12	Marino	34	8	15	11	44	40	39

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Marino vs Playas Sotavento?: The Footlab model makes Marino the favourite at 48%, against 28% for a draw and 24% for Playas Sotavento.
Where and when is Marino vs Playas Sotavento played?: Marino vs Playas Sotavento is played on October 4, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Antonio Domínguez Alfonso, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 12.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.