Match

Real Valladolid II vs Calamocha: prediction and stats

Segunda División RFEF - Group 5Group 5 - 30Kick-off on April 11, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Campo 1 Anexos del José Zorrilla hierba natural, Valladolid

Real Valladolid IICalamocha

The Footlab model makes Real Valladolid II the favourite at 44%, against 27% for a draw and 29% for Calamocha. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Real Valladolid II vs Calamocha?

A very open match: only 2 Elo points separate Real Valladolid II (1,891) and Calamocha (1,889).

Real Valladolid II win44 %
Draw27 %
Calamocha win29 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Real Valladolid II have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Calamocha have 10, 4 and 1.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Real Valladolid II
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 12, 2026Leganés II(home)3-3Friendlies Clubs
Aug 8, 2026Real Madrid III(home)0-1Friendlies Clubs
May 3, 2026Burgos Promesas(home)2-0Segunda División RFEF - Group 1
Apr 26, 2026Deportivo La Coruña II(away)1-0Segunda División RFEF - Group 1
Apr 19, 2026Langreo(home)3-0Segunda División RFEF - Group 1
Calamocha
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 10, 2026Cariñena(away)1-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 17
May 3, 2026Robres(home)2-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 17
Apr 26, 2026Huesca II(home)1-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 17
Apr 19, 2026Cuarte(away)0-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 17
Apr 12, 2026Illueca(home)1-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 17

How many goals should we expect?

Real Valladolid II score 2.1 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Calamocha score 1.2 and concede 0.3. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Real Valladolid II2.11.549/159/15
Calamocha1.20.3123/154/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Real Valladolid II vs Calamocha?
The Footlab model makes Real Valladolid II the favourite at 44%, against 27% for a draw and 29% for Calamocha.
Where and when is Real Valladolid II vs Calamocha played?
Real Valladolid II vs Calamocha is played on April 11, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Campo 1 Anexos del José Zorrilla hierba natural, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 5.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Real Valladolid II and Calamocha

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