Real Valladolid II vs Calamocha: prediction and stats
Segunda División RFEF - Group 5Group 5 - 30Kick-off on April 11, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Campo 1 Anexos del José Zorrilla hierba natural, Valladolid
The Footlab model makes Real Valladolid II the favourite at 44%, against 27% for a draw and 29% for Calamocha. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Real Valladolid II vs Calamocha?
A very open match: only 2 Elo points separate Real Valladolid II (1,891) and Calamocha (1,889).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Real Valladolid II have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Calamocha have 10, 4 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 12, 2026 | Leganés II(home) | 3-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Real Madrid III(home) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 3, 2026 | Burgos Promesas(home) | 2-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Deportivo La Coruña II(away) | 1-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Langreo(home) | 3-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Cariñena(away) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 17 |
| May 3, 2026 | Robres(home) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 17 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Huesca II(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 17 |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Cuarte(away) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 17 |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Illueca(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 17 |
How many goals should we expect?
Real Valladolid II score 2.1 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Calamocha score 1.2 and concede 0.3. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Valladolid II | 2.1 | 1.5 | 4 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| Calamocha | 1.2 | 0.3 | 12 | 3/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Real Valladolid II vs Calamocha?
- The Footlab model makes Real Valladolid II the favourite at 44%, against 27% for a draw and 29% for Calamocha.
- Where and when is Real Valladolid II vs Calamocha played?
- Real Valladolid II vs Calamocha is played on April 11, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Campo 1 Anexos del José Zorrilla hierba natural, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 5.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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