Atlético Astorga vs Real Ávila: prediction and stats
Segunda División RFEF - Group 5Group 5 - 30Kick-off on April 11, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estadio La Eragudina, Astorga
The Footlab AI model makes Atlético Astorga the favourite at 54%, against 24% for a draw and 22% for Real Ávila. The most likely score is 1-1. If Atlético Astorga wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 2,937 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 21, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Atlético Astorga vs Real Ávila?
On Elo ratings, Atlético Astorga has 1,858 points and Real Ávila 1,865.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Atlético Astorga vs Real Ávila
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Atlético Astorga
Not enough data to predict the Atlético Astorga lineup.
Real Ávila
4-4-2- 9D. Lorenzo
- 12Carlos Pérez
- 30M. Sarr
- 7Runy
- 16M. Ruiz
- 8Filipe Sissé
- 23G. L. Urbina
- 5C. Pascual
- 22F. Garrido Diaz
- 3Michael Ngaah
- 1O. Lopez
Computed on October 21, 2026 at 09:29 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Atlético Astorga have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Real Ávila have 6, 1 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Compostela(away) | 1-4 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Ourense CF(home) | 4-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Amorebieta(home) | 0-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Sestao River(away) | 0-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Marino de Luanco(home) | 3-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Real Valladolid II(away) | 1-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Numancia(home) | 1-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | SS Reyes(away) | 0-3 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Getafe II(home) | 1-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Calvo Sotelo(home) | 2-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Atlético Astorga win, 2 draws, 3 Real Ávila wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 1, 2026 | Real Ávila 2-4 Atlético Astorga | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 6, 2025 | Atlético Astorga 1-3 Real Ávila | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Apr 14, 2024 | Real Ávila 2-1 Atlético Astorga | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Nov 25, 2023 | Atlético Astorga 0-1 Real Ávila | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Jan 14, 2023 | Atlético Astorga 0-0 Real Ávila | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Sep 11, 2022 | Real Ávila 3-3 Atlético Astorga | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
Last archived meeting: Real Ávila vs Atlético Astorga on Feb 1, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Atlético Astorga score 1.1 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Real Ávila score 1.3 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlético Astorga | 1.1 | 1.3 | 4 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
| Real Ávila | 1.3 | 1.6 | 4 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Real Ávila | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 11 | 7 |
A question about Atlético Astorga vs Real Ávila?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Atlético Astorga vs Real Ávila?
- The Footlab AI model makes Atlético Astorga the favourite at 54%, against 24% for a draw and 22% for Real Ávila.
- Where and when is Atlético Astorga vs Real Ávila played?
- Atlético Astorga vs Real Ávila is played on April 11, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio La Eragudina, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 5.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
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