Where and when is Atlético Astorga vs Real Ávila played?

Atlético Astorga vs Real Ávila is played on April 11, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio La Eragudina, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 5.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Atlético Astorga vs Real Ávila: prediction and stats

Segunda División RFEF - Group 5Group 5 - 30Kick-off on April 11, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estadio La Eragudina, Astorga

Atlético Astorga

Real Ávila

The Footlab model makes Atlético Astorga the favourite at 43%, against 26% for a draw and 31% for Real Ávila. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Atlético Astorga vs Real Ávila?

A very open match: only 2 Elo points separate Atlético Astorga (1,892) and Real Ávila (1,893).

Atlético Astorga win43 %

Draw26 %

Real Ávila win31 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Atlético Astorga have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Real Ávila have 8, 1 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Atlético Astorga
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 21, 2026	Cultural Leonesa(home)	1-1	Friendlies Clubs
Aug 15, 2026	La Bañeza(away)	0-2	Friendlies Clubs
Aug 8, 2026	Deportivo La Coruña II(home)	2-2	Friendlies Clubs
May 3, 2026	UD Ourense(away)	1-1	Segunda División RFEF - Group 1
Apr 26, 2026	Sarriana(home)	1-0	Segunda División RFEF - Group 1

Real Ávila
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 12, 2026	Atlético Tordesillas(away)	2-0	Friendlies Clubs
Aug 8, 2026	Unionistas de Salamanca(home)	2-0	Friendlies Clubs
May 3, 2026	Deportivo La Coruña II(home)	0-4	Segunda División RFEF - Group 1
Apr 26, 2026	Racing Santander II(away)	1-4	Segunda División RFEF - Group 1
Apr 19, 2026	Gimnástica Segoviana(home)	2-1	Segunda División RFEF - Group 1

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Atlético Astorga win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 Real Ávila win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Feb 1, 2026	Real Ávila 2-4 Atlético Astorga	Segunda División RFEF - Group 1
Sep 6, 2025	Atlético Astorga 1-3 Real Ávila	Segunda División RFEF - Group 1
Apr 14, 2024	Real Ávila 2-1 Atlético Astorga	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Nov 25, 2023	Atlético Astorga 0-1 Real Ávila	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Jan 14, 2023	Atlético Astorga 0-0 Real Ávila	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Sep 11, 2022	Real Ávila 3-3 Atlético Astorga	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8

Last archived meeting: Real Ávila vs Atlético Astorga on Feb 1, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Atlético Astorga score 1.3 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Real Ávila score 1.6 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Atlético Astorga	1.3	1.3	5	7/15	7/15
Real Ávila	1.6	1.7	5	9/15	11/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Atlético Astorga vs Real Ávila?: The Footlab model makes Atlético Astorga the favourite at 43%, against 26% for a draw and 31% for Real Ávila.
Where and when is Atlético Astorga vs Real Ávila played?: Atlético Astorga vs Real Ávila is played on April 11, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio La Eragudina, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 5.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.