Numancia vs Salamanca UDS: prediction and stats
Segunda División RFEF - Group 5Group 5 - 30Kick-off on April 11, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Nuevo Estadio Los Pajaritos, Soria
The Footlab AI model makes Numancia the favourite at 59%, against 23% for a draw and 18% for Salamanca UDS. The most likely score is 1-1. If Numancia wins, the most likely score is 2-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.7% of the 5,241 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 10, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Numancia vs Salamanca UDS?
On Elo ratings, Numancia has 1,953 points and Salamanca UDS 1,900.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Numancia vs Salamanca UDS
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Numancia
4-4-2- 18Pablo Cortés
- 9Jony González
- 14César Moreno
- 19I. Leon
- 8M. Gning
- 20J. Dominguez
- 23Borja López
- 4Pelayo Suárez
- 5Fran González
- 27S. Flores
- 13G. Sunico
Salamanca UDS
Not enough data to predict the Salamanca UDS lineup.
Computed on November 10, 2026 at 10:10 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Numancia have 7 wins, 5 draws and 3 defeats; Salamanca UDS have 9, 1 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | Calvo Sotelo(home) | 6-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Nov 1, 2026 | Atlético Tordesillas(away) | 2-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Oct 29, 2026 | Oviedo(home) | 3-3 | Copa del Rey |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Navalcarnero(home) | 2-3 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | CF Talavera(home) | 0-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | Real Ávila(away) | 3-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Nov 1, 2026 | Gimnástica Segoviana(home) | 1-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Oct 25, 2026 | CF Talavera(away) | 1-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Navalcarnero(home) | 1-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Oct 14, 2026 | Sestao River(away) | 1-3 | Copa Federacion |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 2 Numancia wins, 2 draws, 0 Salamanca UDS wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 8, 2026 | Salamanca UDS 1-1 Numancia | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 19, 2025 | Numancia 3-1 Salamanca UDS | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Mar 2, 2025 | Numancia 2-0 Salamanca UDS | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 20, 2024 | Salamanca UDS 1-1 Numancia | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
Last archived meeting: Salamanca UDS vs Numancia on Feb 8, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Numancia score 1.5 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Salamanca UDS score 1.9 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Numancia | 1.5 | 0.8 | 8 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
| Salamanca UDS | 1.9 | 1.5 | 3 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Numancia sit 1st in Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 (19 points from 10 matches) and Salamanca UDS sit 7th (16 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Numancia | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 16 | 5 | 19 |
| 7 | Salamanca UDS | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 10 | 16 |
A question about Numancia vs Salamanca UDS?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Numancia vs Salamanca UDS?
- The Footlab AI model makes Numancia the favourite at 59%, against 23% for a draw and 18% for Salamanca UDS.
- Where and when is Numancia vs Salamanca UDS played?
- Numancia vs Salamanca UDS is played on April 11, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Nuevo Estadio Los Pajaritos, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 5.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
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