Getafe II vs Navalcarnero: prediction and stats
Segunda División RFEF - Group 5Group 5 - 30Kick-off on April 11, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Ciudad Deportiva de Getafe - Campo 1, Getafe
The Footlab model makes Getafe II the favourite at 53%, against 26% for a draw and 21% for Navalcarnero. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Getafe II vs Navalcarnero?
A very open match: only 42 Elo points separate Getafe II (1,905) and Navalcarnero (1,863).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Getafe II have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Navalcarnero have 5, 2 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 19, 2026 | CF Talavera(away) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Alcorcon(away) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 16, 2026 | UD Logroñés(away) | 1-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Play-offs |
| May 10, 2026 | UD Logroñés(home) | 0-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Play-offs |
| May 3, 2026 | Orihuela(away) | 1-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 3, 2026 | Fuenlabrada(home) | 3-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Colonia Moscardó(away) | 0-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Conquense(home) | 2-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Apr 12, 2026 | CD Coria(away) | 1-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Apr 5, 2026 | Rayo Majadahonda(home) | 2-3 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Getafe II win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Navalcarnero win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 18, 2026 | Navalcarnero 0-0 Getafe II | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Sep 7, 2025 | Getafe II 3-2 Navalcarnero | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Mar 9, 2025 | Getafe II 0-1 Navalcarnero | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Oct 27, 2024 | Navalcarnero 3-2 Getafe II | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Mar 17, 2024 | Navalcarnero 0-0 Getafe II | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Nov 5, 2023 | Getafe II 2-1 Navalcarnero | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
Last archived meeting: Navalcarnero vs Getafe II on Jan 18, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Getafe II score 1.3 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Navalcarnero score 1.3 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Getafe II | 1.3 | 1.0 | 6 | 5/15 | 7/15 |
| Navalcarnero | 1.3 | 1.5 | 3 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Getafe II sit 4th in Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 (57 points from 34 matches) and Navalcarnero sit 10th (43 points from 34 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Getafe II | 34 | 16 | 9 | 9 | 55 | 35 | 57 |
| 10 | Navalcarnero | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 40 | 42 | 43 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Getafe II vs Navalcarnero?
- The Footlab model makes Getafe II the favourite at 53%, against 26% for a draw and 21% for Navalcarnero.
- Where and when is Getafe II vs Navalcarnero played?
- Getafe II vs Navalcarnero is played on April 11, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Ciudad Deportiva de Getafe - Campo 1, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 5.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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