Real Zaragoza II vs Brea: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 17Group 17 - 29Kick-off on April 4, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Ciudad Deportiva del Real Zaragoza, Cuarte de Huerva
The Footlab model makes Real Zaragoza II the favourite at 50%, against 28% for a draw and 22% for Brea. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Real Zaragoza II vs Brea?
Real Zaragoza II starts as the favourite with a 110-point Elo edge (1,776 vs 1,667).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Real Zaragoza II have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Brea have 3, 5 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 3, 2026 | Beasain(away) | 2-3 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Real Unión(home) | 3-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Apr 19, 2026 | SD Logroñés(away) | 0-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Deportivo Alavés II(home) | 1-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Apr 2, 2026 | Alfaro(away) | 1-3 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 11, 2025 | Caspe(home) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 17 |
| May 4, 2025 | Ebro(away) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 17 |
| Apr 27, 2025 | Cuarte(home) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 17 |
| Apr 18, 2025 | Belchite 97(away) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 17 |
| Apr 13, 2025 | Épila(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 17 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 3 Real Zaragoza II win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Brea win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 11, 2024 | Real Zaragoza II 2-0 Brea | Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Oct 1, 2023 | Brea 0-1 Real Zaragoza II | Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Dec 14, 2019 | Real Zaragoza II 2-1 Brea | Tercera División RFEF - Group 17 |
Last archived meeting: Real Zaragoza II vs Brea on Feb 11, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Real Zaragoza II score 1.1 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Brea score 0.5 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 42% probability of over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Zaragoza II | 1.1 | 1.6 | 2 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
| Brea | 0.5 | 1.1 | 5 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Real Zaragoza II vs Brea?
- The Footlab model makes Real Zaragoza II the favourite at 50%, against 28% for a draw and 22% for Brea.
- Where and when is Real Zaragoza II vs Brea played?
- Real Zaragoza II vs Brea is played on April 4, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Ciudad Deportiva del Real Zaragoza, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 17.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 42% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.