Termoli Calcio vs Recanatese: prediction and stats
Serie D - Girone FGroup F - 15Kick-off on December 6, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Stadio Gino Cannarsa, Termoli
The Footlab model makes Termoli Calcio the favourite at 43%, against 29% for a draw and 28% for Recanatese. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Termoli Calcio vs Recanatese?
A very open match: only 49 Elo points separate Termoli Calcio (1,671) and Recanatese (1,622).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Termoli Calcio have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Recanatese have 4, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 3, 2026 | L'Aquila(home) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Ostia Mare(away) | 0-1 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Notaresco(home) | 1-2 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Apr 15, 2026 | Sammaurese(home) | 1-0 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Teramo(away) | 0-0 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 17, 2026 | Victor San Marino(home) | 4-1 | Serie D - Girone F |
| May 3, 2026 | Fossombrone(home) | 2-0 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Teramo(away) | 2-2 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Sora(home) | 2-0 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Maceratese(away) | 1-2 | Serie D - Girone F |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Termoli Calcio win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Recanatese win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 18, 2026 | Termoli Calcio 0-1 Recanatese | Serie D - Girone F |
| Sep 21, 2025 | Recanatese 1-1 Termoli Calcio | Serie D - Girone F |
| May 4, 2025 | Recanatese 1-2 Termoli Calcio | Serie D - Girone F |
| Dec 21, 2024 | Termoli Calcio 0-1 Recanatese | Serie D - Girone F |
Last archived meeting: Termoli Calcio vs Recanatese on Jan 18, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Termoli Calcio score 0.7 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Recanatese score 1.3 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 41% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Termoli Calcio | 0.7 | 0.7 | 6 | 5/15 | 2/15 |
| Recanatese | 1.3 | 1.6 | 3 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Termoli Calcio sit 11th in Serie D - Girone F (39 points from 34 matches) and Recanatese sit 15th (32 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Termoli Calcio | 34 | 8 | 15 | 11 | 27 | 30 | 39 |
| 15 | Recanatese | 34 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 39 | 57 | 32 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Termoli Calcio vs Recanatese?
- The Footlab model makes Termoli Calcio the favourite at 43%, against 29% for a draw and 28% for Recanatese.
- Where and when is Termoli Calcio vs Recanatese played?
- Termoli Calcio vs Recanatese is played on December 6, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Stadio Gino Cannarsa, in the Serie D - Girone F.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 41% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.