Termoli Calcio vs Recanatese: prediction and stats
Serie D - Girone FGroup F - 15Kick-off on December 6, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Stadio Gino Cannarsa, Termoli
The Footlab AI model makes Termoli Calcio the favourite at 47%, against 29% for a draw and 24% for Recanatese. The most likely score is 1-1. If Termoli Calcio wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,402 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Termoli Calcio vs Recanatese?
A very open match: only 55 Elo points separate Termoli Calcio (1,612) and Recanatese (1,557).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Termoli Calcio vs Recanatese
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Termoli Calcio
Not enough data to predict the Termoli Calcio lineup.
Recanatese
Not enough data to predict the Recanatese lineup.
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 08:40 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Termoli Calcio have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Recanatese have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Fossombrone(away) | 2-1 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Oct 7, 2026 | L'Aquila(away) | 2-5 | Coppa Italia Serie D |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Lanciano FC(home) | 2-0 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Sporting Trestina(away) | 0-2 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Vigor Senigallia(home) | 1-2 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Notaresco(away) | 1-2 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Maceratese(home) | 2-3 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Lanciano FC(away) | 1-4 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Montecchio Gallo(home) | 0-0 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Foligno Calcio(home) | 4-1 | Serie D - Girone F |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Termoli Calcio win, 1 draw, 2 Recanatese wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 18, 2026 | Termoli Calcio 0-1 Recanatese | Serie D - Girone F |
| Sep 21, 2025 | Recanatese 1-1 Termoli Calcio | Serie D - Girone F |
| May 4, 2025 | Recanatese 1-2 Termoli Calcio | Serie D - Girone F |
| Dec 21, 2024 | Termoli Calcio 0-1 Recanatese | Serie D - Girone F |
Last archived meeting: Termoli Calcio vs Recanatese on Jan 18, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Termoli Calcio score 0.8 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Recanatese score 1.5 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 41% probability of over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Termoli Calcio | 0.8 | 1.0 | 7 | 5/15 | 4/15 |
| Recanatese | 1.5 | 1.3 | 5 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Termoli Calcio sit 8th in Serie D - Girone F (10 points from 7 matches) and Recanatese sit 15th (6 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Termoli Calcio | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 10 |
| 15 | Recanatese | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 11 | 6 |
A question about Termoli Calcio vs Recanatese?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Termoli Calcio vs Recanatese?
- The Footlab AI model makes Termoli Calcio the favourite at 47%, against 29% for a draw and 24% for Recanatese.
- Where and when is Termoli Calcio vs Recanatese played?
- Termoli Calcio vs Recanatese is played on December 6, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Stadio Gino Cannarsa, in the Serie D - Girone F.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 41% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.