Curico Unido vs Recoleta: prediction and stats
Primera BRegular Season - 23Kick-off on August 30, 2026 at 09:30 PM (UTC)Estadio Bicentenario La Granja, Curicó
The Footlab model makes Curico Unido the favourite at 38%, against 28% for a draw and 34% for Recoleta. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Curico Unido vs Recoleta?
A very open match: only 17 Elo points separate Curico Unido (1,600) and Recoleta (1,617).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Curico Unido have 5 wins, 6 draws and 4 defeats; Recoleta have 3, 7 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Union San Felipe(home) | 2-0 | Primera B |
| Aug 17, 2026 | Deportes Copiapo(away) | 0-4 | Primera B |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Deportes Santa Cruz(home) | 1-2 | Primera B |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Rangers de Talca(away) | 0-0 | Primera B |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Universidad de Concepcion(away) | 3-1 | Copa Chile |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Deportes Copiapo(home) | 2-1 | Primera B |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Deportes Temuco(away) | 1-1 | Primera B |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Rangers de Talca(home) | 4-2 | Primera B |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Union San Felipe(away) | 0-0 | Primera B |
| Aug 2, 2026 | D. Puerto Montt(home) | 0-1 | Primera B |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 1 Curico Unido win(s), 3 draw(s), 1 Recoleta win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 18, 2026 | Recoleta 2-2 Curico Unido | Primera B |
| Oct 25, 2025 | Recoleta 1-1 Curico Unido | Primera B |
| Jun 14, 2025 | Curico Unido 1-1 Recoleta | Primera B |
| Aug 5, 2024 | Curico Unido 1-0 Recoleta | Primera B |
| Mar 23, 2024 | Recoleta 2-1 Curico Unido | Primera B |
Last archived meeting: Recoleta vs Curico Unido on Apr 18, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Curico Unido score 1.1 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Recoleta score 1.1 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Curico Unido | 1.1 | 1.3 | 6 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Recoleta | 1.1 | 1.3 | 3 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Curico Unido sit 13th in Primera B (23 points from 21 matches) and Recoleta sit 9th (30 points from 21 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Recoleta | 21 | 8 | 6 | 7 | 32 | 31 | 30 |
| 13 | Curico Unido | 21 | 5 | 8 | 8 | 20 | 32 | 23 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Curico Unido vs Recoleta?
- The Footlab model makes Curico Unido the favourite at 38%, against 28% for a draw and 34% for Recoleta.
- Where and when is Curico Unido vs Recoleta played?
- Curico Unido vs Recoleta is played on August 30, 2026 at 09:30 PM (UTC) at Estadio Bicentenario La Granja, in the Primera B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.