Recreativo Huelva vs Xerez Deportivo: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 10Group 10 - 5Kick-off on October 4, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Nuevo Colombino, Huelva
The Footlab model makes Recreativo Huelva the favourite at 50%, against 27% for a draw and 23% for Xerez Deportivo. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Recreativo Huelva vs Xerez Deportivo?
A very open match: only 32 Elo points separate Recreativo Huelva (1,840) and Xerez Deportivo (1,807).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Recreativo Huelva have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Xerez Deportivo have 2, 5 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 28, 2026 | Dos Hermanas(home) | 3-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 22, 2026 | Real Betis(home) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 10, 2026 | Chiclana(home) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 |
| May 3, 2026 | Xerez Deportivo(home) | 3-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| May 3, 2026 | Conil(away) | 2-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Mijas Las Lagunas(home) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 3, 2026 | Recreativo Huelva(away) | 2-3 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Xerez(home) | 0-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Deportiva Minera(away) | 1-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Linares Deportivo(home) | 0-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 2 Recreativo Huelva win(s), 2 draw(s), 0 Xerez Deportivo win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 3, 2026 | Recreativo Huelva 3-2 Xerez Deportivo | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Dec 7, 2025 | Xerez Deportivo 1-1 Recreativo Huelva | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Apr 16, 2023 | Recreativo Huelva 0-0 Xerez Deportivo | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Dec 4, 2022 | Xerez Deportivo 0-1 Recreativo Huelva | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
Last archived meeting: Recreativo Huelva vs Xerez Deportivo on May 3, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Recreativo Huelva score 1.2 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Xerez Deportivo score 0.6 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Recreativo Huelva | 1.2 | 1.4 | 3 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Xerez Deportivo | 0.6 | 1.2 | 5 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Recreativo Huelva vs Xerez Deportivo?
- The Footlab model makes Recreativo Huelva the favourite at 50%, against 27% for a draw and 23% for Xerez Deportivo.
- Where and when is Recreativo Huelva vs Xerez Deportivo played?
- Recreativo Huelva vs Xerez Deportivo is played on October 4, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Nuevo Colombino, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 10.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.