Dos Hermanas vs Ceuta II: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 10Group 10 - 5Kick-off on October 4, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes Dos Hermanas the favourite at 61%, against 21% for a draw and 18% for Ceuta II. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Dos Hermanas vs Ceuta II?
A very open match: only 73 Elo points separate Dos Hermanas (1,844) and Ceuta II (1,771).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Dos Hermanas have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Ceuta II have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 8, 2026 | Linares Deportivo(home) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Recreativo Huelva(away) | 1-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jun 7, 2026 | Atlético Central(home) | 1-4 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 |
| May 31, 2026 | Atlético Central(away) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 |
| May 23, 2026 | Ceuta II(home) | 4-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 23, 2026 | Dos Hermanas(away) | 2-4 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 |
| May 17, 2026 | Dos Hermanas(home) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 |
| May 10, 2026 | San Roque Lepe(away) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 |
| May 3, 2026 | Castilleja(home) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Coria CF(away) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 2 Dos Hermanas win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Ceuta II win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 23, 2026 | Dos Hermanas 4-2 Ceuta II | Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 |
| May 17, 2026 | Ceuta II 2-2 Dos Hermanas | Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 |
| Mar 7, 2026 | Dos Hermanas 3-0 Ceuta II | Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 |
| Oct 25, 2025 | Ceuta II 1-0 Dos Hermanas | Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 |
Last archived meeting: Dos Hermanas vs Ceuta II on May 23, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Dos Hermanas score 2.1 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Ceuta II score 1.1 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 65% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dos Hermanas | 2.1 | 1.4 | 4 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
| Ceuta II | 1.1 | 1.3 | 6 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Dos Hermanas sit 2nd in Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 (60 points from 34 matches) and Ceuta II sit 5th (52 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Dos Hermanas | 34 | 18 | 6 | 10 | 69 | 39 | 60 |
| 5 | Ceuta II | 34 | 14 | 10 | 10 | 38 | 38 | 52 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Dos Hermanas vs Ceuta II?
- The Footlab model makes Dos Hermanas the favourite at 61%, against 21% for a draw and 18% for Ceuta II.
- Where and when is Dos Hermanas vs Ceuta II played?
- Dos Hermanas vs Ceuta II is played on October 4, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC), in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 10.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.