Chiclana vs Sevilla III: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 10Group 10 - 5Kick-off on October 4, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes Chiclana the favourite at 45%, against 28% for a draw and 26% for Sevilla III. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Chiclana vs Sevilla III?
A very open match: only 1 Elo points separate Chiclana (1,717) and Sevilla III (1,716).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Chiclana have 2 wins, 8 draws and 5 defeats; Sevilla III have 4, 6 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Recreativo Huelva(away) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 |
| May 3, 2026 | Pozoblanco(home) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | San Roque Lepe(away) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Castilleja(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Coria CF(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Atlético Central(home) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 |
| May 3, 2026 | Utrera(away) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Dos Hermanas(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Cádiz II(away) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Ciudad de Lucena(home) | 0-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Chiclana win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Sevilla III win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 25, 2026 | Sevilla III 1-1 Chiclana | Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 |
| Sep 14, 2025 | Chiclana 0-2 Sevilla III | Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 |
Last archived meeting: Sevilla III vs Chiclana on Jan 25, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Chiclana score 0.9 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Sevilla III score 0.9 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 44% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chiclana | 0.9 | 1.3 | 3 | 9/15 | 6/15 |
| Sevilla III | 0.9 | 0.9 | 6 | 5/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Chiclana sit 12th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 (43 points from 34 matches) and Sevilla III sit 16th (38 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Chiclana | 34 | 10 | 13 | 11 | 39 | 45 | 43 |
| 16 | Sevilla III | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 34 | 41 | 38 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Chiclana vs Sevilla III?
- The Footlab model makes Chiclana the favourite at 45%, against 28% for a draw and 26% for Sevilla III.
- Where and when is Chiclana vs Sevilla III played?
- Chiclana vs Sevilla III is played on October 4, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC), in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 10.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.