Nchanga Rangers vs NAPSA Stars: prediction and stats
Super LeagueRegular Season - 14Kick-off on December 23, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Nchanga Stadium, Chingola
The Footlab model makes Nchanga Rangers the favourite at 45%, against 33% for a draw and 21% for NAPSA Stars. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Nchanga Rangers vs NAPSA Stars?
A very open match: only 17 Elo points separate Nchanga Rangers (1,535) and NAPSA Stars (1,518).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Nchanga Rangers have 6 wins, 1 draws and 8 defeats; NAPSA Stars have 4, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 23, 2026 | Konkola Blades(home) | 1-2 | Super League |
| May 16, 2026 | Zanaco(away) | 0-1 | Super League |
| May 8, 2026 | Kabwe Warriors(home) | 1-1 | Super League |
| May 3, 2026 | Nkana(away) | 1-0 | Super League |
| Apr 29, 2026 | Nkwazi(home) | 1-0 | Super League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 24, 2026 | Mutondo Stars(home) | 1-0 | Super League |
| May 17, 2026 | Konkola Blades(away) | 0-0 | Super League |
| May 12, 2026 | Zanaco(home) | 2-0 | Super League |
| May 3, 2026 | Kabwe Warriors(away) | 0-1 | Super League |
| Apr 30, 2026 | Nkana(home) | 1-1 | Super League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Nchanga Rangers win(s), 3 draw(s), 2 NAPSA Stars win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 12, 2026 | NAPSA Stars 0-1 Nchanga Rangers | Super League |
| Oct 5, 2025 | Nchanga Rangers 1-1 NAPSA Stars | Super League |
| Feb 8, 2025 | Nchanga Rangers 0-0 NAPSA Stars | Super League |
| Sep 29, 2024 | NAPSA Stars 3-0 Nchanga Rangers | Super League |
| Apr 29, 2023 | NAPSA Stars 2-0 Nchanga Rangers | Super League |
| Nov 19, 2022 | Nchanga Rangers 1-1 NAPSA Stars | Super League |
Last archived meeting: NAPSA Stars vs Nchanga Rangers on Mar 12, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Nchanga Rangers score 1.0 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; NAPSA Stars score 0.9 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 27% probability of over 2.5 goals and 34% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nchanga Rangers | 1.0 | 1.1 | 5 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| NAPSA Stars | 0.9 | 1.1 | 5 | 7/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Nchanga Rangers sit 5th in Super League (50 points from 34 matches) and NAPSA Stars sit 15th (36 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Nchanga Rangers | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 31 | 26 | 50 |
| 15 | NAPSA Stars | 34 | 8 | 12 | 14 | 25 | 33 | 36 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Nchanga Rangers vs NAPSA Stars?
- The Footlab model makes Nchanga Rangers the favourite at 45%, against 33% for a draw and 21% for NAPSA Stars.
- Where and when is Nchanga Rangers vs NAPSA Stars played?
- Nchanga Rangers vs NAPSA Stars is played on December 23, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Nchanga Stadium, in the Super League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 27% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Dec 23, 2026Green EaglesvsNkwazi
- Dec 23, 2026NkanavsKonkola Blades
- Dec 23, 2026Red ArrowsvsRoan United
- Dec 23, 2026Kansanshi DynamosvsZanaco
- Dec 24, 2026Green BuffaloesvsKabwe Warriors
- Dec 24, 2026Power DynamosvsMan Utd Zambia Academy
- Dec 24, 2026Mutondo StarsvsZESCO United
- Dec 24, 2026Chirundu UtdvsMufulira Wanderers