Mutondo Stars vs ZESCO United: prediction and stats
Super LeagueRegular Season - 14Kick-off on December 24, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Arthur Davies Stadium, Kitwe
The Footlab model calls this one tight: 32% for Mutondo Stars, 34% for a draw, 33% for ZESCO United. The most likely score is 0-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Mutondo Stars vs ZESCO United?
ZESCO United starts as the favourite with a 127-point Elo edge (1,621 vs 1,494).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Mutondo Stars have 4 wins, 6 draws and 5 defeats; ZESCO United have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 24, 2026 | NAPSA Stars(away) | 0-1 | Super League |
| May 17, 2026 | Mines(home) | 3-1 | Super League |
| May 13, 2026 | Power Dynamos(away) | 2-2 | Super League |
| May 2, 2026 | Red Arrows(home) | 1-0 | Super League |
| Apr 29, 2026 | Mufulira Wanderers(away) | 0-1 | Super League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 24, 2026 | Zanaco(home) | 6-1 | Super League |
| May 20, 2026 | Mines(away) | 2-1 | Super League |
| May 16, 2026 | Kabwe Warriors(away) | 1-0 | Super League |
| May 13, 2026 | Nkana(home) | 0-1 | Super League |
| May 7, 2026 | Green Eagles(away) | 0-1 | Super League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Mutondo Stars win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 ZESCO United win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 5, 2026 | Mutondo Stars 1-0 ZESCO United | Super League |
| Aug 23, 2025 | ZESCO United 3-0 Mutondo Stars | Super League |
| May 4, 2025 | Mutondo Stars 1-0 ZESCO United | Super League |
| Dec 14, 2024 | ZESCO United 2-0 Mutondo Stars | Super League |
| Apr 21, 2024 | ZESCO United 0-0 Mutondo Stars | Super League |
| Nov 11, 2023 | Mutondo Stars 1-2 ZESCO United | Super League |
Last archived meeting: Mutondo Stars vs ZESCO United on Mar 5, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Mutondo Stars score 0.9 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; ZESCO United score 1.2 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 27% probability of over 2.5 goals and 36% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mutondo Stars | 0.9 | 0.9 | 3 | 7/15 | 2/15 |
| ZESCO United | 1.2 | 0.9 | 5 | 7/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Mutondo Stars sit 16th in Super League (35 points from 34 matches) and ZESCO United sit 10th (47 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | ZESCO United | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 39 | 30 | 47 |
| 16 | Mutondo Stars | 34 | 7 | 14 | 13 | 23 | 34 | 35 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Mutondo Stars vs ZESCO United?
- The Footlab model calls this one tight: 32% for Mutondo Stars, 34% for a draw, 33% for ZESCO United.
- Where and when is Mutondo Stars vs ZESCO United played?
- Mutondo Stars vs ZESCO United is played on December 24, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Arthur Davies Stadium, in the Super League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 27% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Dec 23, 2026Green EaglesvsNkwazi
- Dec 23, 2026NkanavsKonkola Blades
- Dec 23, 2026Red ArrowsvsRoan United
- Dec 23, 2026Nchanga RangersvsNAPSA Stars
- Dec 23, 2026Kansanshi DynamosvsZanaco
- Dec 24, 2026Green BuffaloesvsKabwe Warriors
- Dec 24, 2026Power DynamosvsMan Utd Zambia Academy
- Dec 24, 2026Chirundu UtdvsMufulira Wanderers