US Mondorf-les-bains vs Etzella Ettelbruck: prediction and stats
National DivisionRegular Season - 14Kick-off on November 29, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stade John Grün, Mondorf-les-Bains
The Footlab model makes US Mondorf-les-bains the favourite at 71%, against 18% for a draw and 11% for Etzella Ettelbruck. The most likely score is 2-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win US Mondorf-les-bains vs Etzella Ettelbruck?
US Mondorf-les-bains is a heavy favourite: 1,656 Elo points against 1,323, a 333-point gap.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, US Mondorf-les-bains have 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats; Etzella Ettelbruck have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | AS Jeunesse Esch(away) | 3-1 | National Division |
| Aug 16, 2026 | F91 Dudelange(home) | 1-0 | National Division |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Victoria Rosport(away) | 3-2 | National Division |
| Aug 2, 2026 | FC Differdange 03(home) | 3-2 | National Division |
| Jul 16, 2026 | Dinamo Tbilisi(away) | 1-1 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | UN Kaerjeng 97(home) | 0-1 | National Division |
| Aug 16, 2026 | US Hostert(away) | 1-5 | National Division |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Racing FC Union Luxembourg(home) | 0-1 | National Division |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Wiltz(away) | 1-1 | National Division |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Jeunesse Canach(away) | 3-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 US Mondorf-les-bains win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Etzella Ettelbruck win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 5, 2023 | Etzella Ettelbruck 0-3 US Mondorf-les-bains | National Division |
| Sep 4, 2022 | US Mondorf-les-bains 3-0 Etzella Ettelbruck | National Division |
| May 1, 2022 | US Mondorf-les-bains 2-1 Etzella Ettelbruck | National Division |
| Nov 28, 2021 | Etzella Ettelbruck 2-1 US Mondorf-les-bains | National Division |
| May 22, 2021 | US Mondorf-les-bains 2-3 Etzella Ettelbruck | National Division |
| Mar 7, 2021 | Etzella Ettelbruck 0-1 US Mondorf-les-bains | National Division |
Last archived meeting: Etzella Ettelbruck vs US Mondorf-les-bains on Mar 5, 2023
How many goals should we expect?
US Mondorf-les-bains score 1.6 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Etzella Ettelbruck score 1.7 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US Mondorf-les-bains | 1.6 | 1.1 | 5 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
| Etzella Ettelbruck | 1.7 | 1.9 | 2 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
US Mondorf-les-bains sit 4th in National Division (9 points from 3 matches) and Etzella Ettelbruck sit 12th (1 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | US Mondorf-les-bains | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 5 | 12 |
| 4 | US Mondorf-les-bains | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 4 | 9 |
| 12 | Etzella Ettelbruck | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 1 |
| 14 | Etzella Ettelbruck | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for US Mondorf-les-bains vs Etzella Ettelbruck?
- The Footlab model makes US Mondorf-les-bains the favourite at 71%, against 18% for a draw and 11% for Etzella Ettelbruck.
- Where and when is US Mondorf-les-bains vs Etzella Ettelbruck played?
- US Mondorf-les-bains vs Etzella Ettelbruck is played on November 29, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stade John Grün, in the National Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Nov 29, 2026Progres NiederkornvsVictoria Rosport
- Nov 29, 2026US RumelangevsUN Kaerjeng 97
- Nov 29, 2026AS Jeunesse EschvsF91 Dudelange
- Nov 29, 2026UNA StrassenvsSwift Hesperange
- Nov 29, 2026WiltzvsUS Hostert
- Nov 29, 2026Atert BissenvsFC Differdange 03
- Nov 29, 2026Résidence WalferdangevsRacing FC Union Luxembourg