Retrô vs Nautico Recife: result 1-0 and analysis
Pernambucano - 1Semi-finalsKick-off on March 17, 2024 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Itaipava Arena Pernambuco, Recife, Pernambuco
Full time
What was the result of Retrô vs Nautico Recife?
Retrô won 1-0 on March 17, 2024.
Goalscorers
- 76′Franklin MascoteRetrô
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Retrô have 7 wins, 5 draws and 3 defeats; Nautico Recife have 8, 4 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 15, 2024 | Fortaleza EC(away) | 0-0 | Copa Do Brasil |
| Mar 10, 2024 | Nautico Recife(away) | 0-1 | Pernambucano - 1 |
| Feb 24, 2024 | Flamengo Arcoverde(away) | 4-0 | Pernambucano - 1 |
| Feb 21, 2024 | Manauara(away) | 2-1 | Copa Do Brasil |
| Feb 18, 2024 | Nautico Recife(home) | 1-0 | Pernambucano - 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 10, 2024 | Retrô(home) | 1-0 | Pernambucano - 1 |
| Mar 5, 2024 | River AC(home) | 0-1 | Copa do Nordeste |
| Mar 1, 2024 | Afogados(home) | 2-0 | Pernambucano - 1 |
| Feb 24, 2024 | Sport Recife(home) | 1-0 | Pernambucano - 1 |
| Feb 21, 2024 | Vitoria(away) | 1-1 | Copa do Nordeste |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Retrô win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Nautico Recife win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 10, 2024 | Nautico Recife 1-0 Retrô | Pernambucano - 1 |
| Feb 18, 2024 | Retrô 1-0 Nautico Recife | Pernambucano - 1 |
| Jan 25, 2023 | Retrô 1-1 Nautico Recife | Pernambucano - 1 |
| Apr 30, 2022 | Retrô 0-1 Nautico Recife | Pernambucano - 1 |
| Apr 21, 2022 | Nautico Recife 0-1 Retrô | Pernambucano - 1 |
| Feb 10, 2022 | Nautico Recife 1-2 Retrô | Pernambucano - 1 |
Last archived meeting: Nautico Recife vs Retrô on Mar 10, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Retrô score 1.4 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Nautico Recife score 1.1 and concede 0.5.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Retrô | 1.4 | 0.8 | 8 | 4/15 | 6/15 |
| Nautico Recife | 1.1 | 0.5 | 8 | 4/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Retrô sit 3rd in Pernambucano - 1 (11 points from 7 matches) and Nautico Recife sit 1st (18 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nautico Recife | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 4 | 18 |
| 3 | Retrô | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 11 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy