Goias vs Nautico Recife: prediction and stats
Serie BRegular Season - 34Kick-off on October 17, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Estádio de Hailé Pinheiro, Goiânia, Goiás
The Footlab model makes Goias the favourite at 40%, against 28% for a draw and 32% for Nautico Recife. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Goias vs Nautico Recife?
A very open match: only 6 Elo points separate Goias (1,861) and Nautico Recife (1,856).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Goias have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Nautico Recife have 3, 6 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Cuiaba(away) | 1-1 | Serie B |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Juventude(home) | 0-1 | Serie B |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Criciuma(away) | 0-1 | Serie B |
| Aug 10, 2026 | Londrina(home) | 1-0 | Serie B |
| Jul 26, 2026 | America Mineiro(away) | 0-1 | Serie B |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | São Bernardo(away) | 1-1 | Serie B |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Ceara(home) | 1-0 | Serie B |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Ponte Preta(away) | 1-1 | Serie B |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Atletico Goianiense(home) | 1-1 | Serie B |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Criciuma(away) | 0-0 | Serie B |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Goias win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 Nautico Recife win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 28, 2026 | Nautico Recife 0-1 Goias | Serie B |
| Oct 6, 2021 | Nautico Recife 3-2 Goias | Serie B |
| Jul 10, 2021 | Goias 0-1 Nautico Recife | Serie B |
| Oct 7, 2017 | Goias 2-0 Nautico Recife | Serie B |
| Jun 20, 2017 | Nautico Recife 2-3 Goias | Serie B |
| Nov 8, 2016 | Nautico Recife 1-0 Goias | Serie B |
Last archived meeting: Nautico Recife vs Goias on Jun 28, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Goias score 0.9 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Nautico Recife score 0.9 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goias | 0.9 | 1.1 | 4 | 6/15 | 4/15 |
| Nautico Recife | 0.9 | 1.2 | 4 | 7/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Goias sit 10th in Serie B (33 points from 24 matches) and Nautico Recife sit 15th (31 points from 24 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Goias | 24 | 9 | 6 | 9 | 23 | 29 | 33 |
| 15 | Nautico Recife | 24 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 28 | 27 | 31 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Goias vs Nautico Recife?
- The Footlab model makes Goias the favourite at 40%, against 28% for a draw and 32% for Nautico Recife.
- Where and when is Goias vs Nautico Recife played?
- Goias vs Nautico Recife is played on October 17, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio de Hailé Pinheiro, in the Serie B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.