Richards Bay vs Durban City: prediction and stats
Premier Soccer LeagueRegular Season - 16Kick-off on January 15, 2027 at 05:30 PM (UTC)King Goodwill Zwelithini Stadium, Durban, KN
The Footlab model makes Richards Bay the favourite at 42%, against 30% for a draw and 28% for Durban City. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Richards Bay vs Durban City?
A very open match: only 24 Elo points separate Richards Bay (1,710) and Durban City (1,734).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Richards Bay have 3 wins, 7 draws and 5 defeats; Durban City have 3, 6 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Durban City(away) | 1-1 | Premier Soccer League |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Chippa United(away) | 1-1 | Premier Soccer League |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Polokwane City(home) | 1-2 | Premier Soccer League |
| May 23, 2026 | Magesi(away) | 0-1 | Premier Soccer League |
| May 16, 2026 | Sekhukhune United(home) | 1-1 | Premier Soccer League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Richards Bay(home) | 1-1 | Premier Soccer League |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Golden Arrows(home) | 0-0 | Premier Soccer League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Orlando Pirates(away) | 1-2 | 8 Cup |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Sekhukhune United(away) | 0-1 | Premier Soccer League |
| May 23, 2026 | Amazulu(home) | 0-1 | Premier Soccer League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Richards Bay win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Durban City win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Durban City 1-1 Richards Bay | Premier Soccer League |
| Mar 22, 2026 | Durban City 1-0 Richards Bay | Premier Soccer League |
| Nov 23, 2025 | Richards Bay 0-0 Durban City | Premier Soccer League |
| Oct 25, 2025 | Richards Bay 3-1 Durban City | League Cup |
Last archived meeting: Durban City vs Richards Bay on Aug 15, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Richards Bay score 0.8 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Durban City score 0.7 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 38% probability of over 2.5 goals and 45% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Richards Bay | 0.8 | 1.0 | 4 | 8/15 | 4/15 |
| Durban City | 0.7 | 1.1 | 5 | 6/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Richards Bay sit 11th in Premier Soccer League (2 points from 3 matches) and Durban City sit 12th (2 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Richards Bay | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 2 |
| 12 | Durban City | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Richards Bay vs Durban City?
- The Footlab model makes Richards Bay the favourite at 42%, against 30% for a draw and 28% for Durban City.
- Where and when is Richards Bay vs Durban City played?
- Richards Bay vs Durban City is played on January 15, 2027 at 05:30 PM (UTC) at King Goodwill Zwelithini Stadium, in the Premier Soccer League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 38% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.