Richards Bay vs Durban City: prediction and stats
Premier Soccer LeagueRegular Season - 16Kick-off on January 15, 2027 at 05:30 PM (UTC)King Goodwill Zwelithini Stadium, Durban, KN
The Footlab AI model makes Durban City the favourite at 41%, against 30% for a draw and 29% for Richards Bay. The most likely score is 1-1. If Durban City wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,872 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 20, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Richards Bay vs Durban City?
A very open match: only 78 Elo points separate Richards Bay (1,677) and Durban City (1,755).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Richards Bay vs Durban City
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Richards Bay
4-3-3- 20M. Mthembu
- 27N. Xulu
- 19S. Nzama
- 77L. Khumalo
- 12S. Gumbi
- 8L. Zikhali
- 25S. Mcineka
- 22L. Mabuya
- 37S. Gwele
- 5T. Sikhakhane
- 1Ian Aubrey Otieno
Durban City
4-2-3-1- 20Jean Lwamba
- 10S. Maseko
- 18B. Poggenpoel
- 23Tylo Sanger
- 8G. Sirino
- 35L. Sifumba
- 24J. Mokone
- 2B. Shandu
- 5S. Ncanana
- 27Siyabonga Msomi
- 33F. Asare
Computed on October 20, 2026 at 09:46 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Richards Bay have 1 win, 8 draws and 6 defeats; Durban City have 4, 6 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | Mamelodi Sundowns(home) | 1-4 | Premier Soccer League |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Sekhukhune United(home) | 2-3 | Premier Soccer League |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Milford FC(away) | 1-5 | Premier Soccer League |
| Sep 4, 2026 | Amazulu(home) | 1-2 | Premier Soccer League |
| Aug 26, 2026 | Kaizer Chiefs(home) | 2-2 | Premier Soccer League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | ASPL 2000(home) | 3-1 | CAF Confederation Cup |
| Oct 13, 2026 | Amazulu(home) | 1-2 | Premier Soccer League |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Milford FC(away) | 1-1 | Premier Soccer League |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Orlando Pirates(away) | 0-2 | Premier Soccer League |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Rukinzo(away) | 2-1 | CAF Confederation Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Richards Bay win, 2 draws, 1 Durban City win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Durban City 1-1 Richards Bay | Premier Soccer League |
| Mar 22, 2026 | Durban City 1-0 Richards Bay | Premier Soccer League |
| Nov 23, 2025 | Richards Bay 0-0 Durban City | Premier Soccer League |
| Oct 25, 2025 | Richards Bay 3-1 Durban City | League Cup |
Last archived meeting: Durban City vs Richards Bay on Aug 15, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Richards Bay score 1.0 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Durban City score 0.8 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 40% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Richards Bay | 1.0 | 1.7 | 3 | 11/15 | 7/15 |
| Durban City | 0.8 | 0.8 | 6 | 6/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Richards Bay sit 15th in Premier Soccer League (3 points from 8 matches) and Durban City sit 10th (7 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Durban City | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 7 |
| 15 | Richards Bay | 8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 20 | 3 |
A question about Richards Bay vs Durban City?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Richards Bay vs Durban City?
- The Footlab AI model makes Durban City the favourite at 41%, against 30% for a draw and 29% for Richards Bay.
- Where and when is Richards Bay vs Durban City played?
- Richards Bay vs Durban City is played on January 15, 2027 at 05:30 PM (UTC) at King Goodwill Zwelithini Stadium, in the Premier Soccer League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 40% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.