Match

Richmond Kickers vs Corpus Christi: prediction and stats

USL League OneGroup StageKick-off on October 17, 2026 at 10:00 PM (UTC)City Stadium, Richmond, Virginia

Richmond KickersCorpus Christi

The Footlab model makes Corpus Christi the favourite at 40%, against 28% for a draw and 32% for Richmond Kickers. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Richmond Kickers vs Corpus Christi?

Corpus Christi starts as the favourite with a 160-point Elo edge (1,727 vs 1,567).

Richmond Kickers win32 %
Draw28 %
Corpus Christi win40 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Richmond Kickers have 3 wins, 3 draws and 9 defeats; Corpus Christi have 7, 5 and 3.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Richmond Kickers
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Portland Hearts of Pine(home)1-1USL League One
Aug 16, 2026Union Omaha(away)1-5USL League One
Aug 5, 2026NY Cosmos(home)2-0USL League One
Aug 1, 2026Alta(home)3-2USL League One
Jul 25, 2026Charlotte Independence(away)1-3USL League One
Corpus Christi
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Westchester SC(home)2-2USL League One
Aug 20, 2026NY Cosmos(home)0-2USL League One
Aug 16, 2026Spokane Velocity(away)3-2USL League One
Aug 8, 2026Portland Hearts of Pine(away)2-0USL League One
Aug 2, 2026Boise(away)0-0USL League One

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Richmond Kickers win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Corpus Christi win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Jun 14, 2026Corpus Christi 1-0 Richmond KickersUSL League One

Last archived meeting: Corpus Christi vs Richmond Kickers on Jun 14, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Richmond Kickers score 0.9 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Corpus Christi score 1.3 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Richmond Kickers0.92.128/158/15
Corpus Christi1.31.167/157/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Richmond Kickers sit 16th in USL League One (19 points from 21 matches) and Corpus Christi sit 9th (30 points from 23 matches).

2026 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
9Corpus Christi23797283230
16Richmond Kickers215412204119

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Richmond Kickers vs Corpus Christi?
The Footlab model makes Corpus Christi the favourite at 40%, against 28% for a draw and 32% for Richmond Kickers.
Where and when is Richmond Kickers vs Corpus Christi played?
Richmond Kickers vs Corpus Christi is played on October 17, 2026 at 10:00 PM (UTC) at City Stadium, in the USL League One.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Richmond Kickers and Corpus Christi

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