Ried vs Austria Lustenau: prediction and stats
BundesligaRegular Season - 20Kick-off on February 13, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Innviertel Arena, Ried Im Innkreis
The Footlab model makes Ried the favourite at 49%, against 26% for a draw and 25% for Austria Lustenau. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ried vs Austria Lustenau?
A very open match: only 69 Elo points separate Ried (1,911) and Austria Lustenau (1,842).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ried have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Austria Lustenau have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Grazer AK(home) | 1-0 | Bundesliga |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Lask Linz(away) | 1-4 | Bundesliga |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Rapid Vienna(home) | 1-2 | Bundesliga |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Austria Lustenau(away) | 1-1 | Bundesliga |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Dornbirn(away) | 5-1 | Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Sturm Graz(away) | 1-1 | Bundesliga |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Wolfsberger AC(home) | 2-1 | Bundesliga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Grazer AK(away) | 1-2 | Bundesliga |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Ried(home) | 1-1 | Bundesliga |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Krems / Rehberg(away) | 1-0 | Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Ried win(s), 6 draw(s), 0 Austria Lustenau win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 2, 2026 | Austria Lustenau 1-1 Ried | Bundesliga |
| Apr 21, 2025 | Ried 1-1 Austria Lustenau | 2. Liga |
| Oct 18, 2024 | Austria Lustenau 1-1 Ried | 2. Liga |
| May 6, 2023 | Austria Lustenau 2-2 Ried | Bundesliga |
| Apr 29, 2023 | Ried 4-4 Austria Lustenau | Bundesliga |
| Oct 23, 2022 | Austria Lustenau 0-0 Ried | Bundesliga |
Last archived meeting: Austria Lustenau vs Ried on Aug 2, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Ried score 1.4 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Austria Lustenau score 1.1 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ried | 1.4 | 1.8 | 2 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| Austria Lustenau | 1.1 | 0.9 | 5 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ried sit 7th in Bundesliga (4 points from 4 matches) and Austria Lustenau sit 5th (5 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Austria Lustenau | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 5 |
| 7 | Ried | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ried vs Austria Lustenau?
- The Footlab model makes Ried the favourite at 49%, against 26% for a draw and 25% for Austria Lustenau.
- Where and when is Ried vs Austria Lustenau played?
- Ried vs Austria Lustenau is played on February 13, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Innviertel Arena, in the Bundesliga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.