Sturm Graz vs Rapid Vienna: prediction and stats
BundesligaRegular Season - 20Kick-off on February 13, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Merkur Arena, Graz
The Footlab AI model makes Rapid Vienna the favourite at 43%, against 25% for a draw and 32% for Sturm Graz. The most likely score is 1-1. If Rapid Vienna wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,457 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Sturm Graz vs Rapid Vienna?
A very open match: only 5 Elo points separate Sturm Graz (2,095) and Rapid Vienna (2,090).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Sturm Graz vs Rapid Vienna
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Sturm Graz
4-2-3-1- 14O. Diakité
- 4J. Gorenc Stankovič
- 19S. Seidl
- 43Jacob Peter Hödl
- 78V. Matoshi
- 39Luca Weinhandl
- 2J. Quarshie
- 23A. Malic
- 27L. Balbo
- 28J. Heil
- 53D. Khudyakov
Rapid Vienna
4-2-3-1- 9E. Kara
- 22Y. Demir
- 8T. Adamsen
- 30N. Bajlicz
- 18M. Seidl
- 10P. Dahl
- 77B. Bolla
- 6S. Raux-Yao
- 55N. Cvetković
- 38J. Horn
- 1N. Hedl
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 10:12 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sturm Graz have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Rapid Vienna have 12, 2 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2026 | Bournemouth(away) | 0-3 | UEFA Europa League |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Austria Vienna(away) | 2-0 | Bundesliga |
| Oct 2, 2026 | Floridsdorfer AC(home) | 3-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Red Bull Salzburg(away) | 0-3 | Bundesliga |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Rennes(home) | 0-0 | UEFA Europa League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Lask Linz(away) | 2-0 | Bundesliga |
| Sep 18, 2026 | WSG Wattens(home) | 3-0 | Bundesliga |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Wolfsberger AC(away) | 3-0 | Bundesliga |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Austria Klagenfurt(away) | 5-2 | Cup |
| Sep 2, 2026 | Red Bull Salzburg(away) | 1-5 | Bundesliga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Sturm Graz wins, 0 draws, 4 Rapid Vienna wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 30, 2026 | Rapid Vienna 3-1 Sturm Graz | Bundesliga |
| May 17, 2026 | Sturm Graz 2-0 Rapid Vienna | Bundesliga |
| Apr 5, 2026 | Rapid Vienna 0-2 Sturm Graz | Bundesliga |
| Nov 2, 2025 | Rapid Vienna 2-1 Sturm Graz | Bundesliga |
| Aug 10, 2025 | Sturm Graz 1-2 Rapid Vienna | Bundesliga |
| May 18, 2025 | Rapid Vienna 3-1 Sturm Graz | Bundesliga |
Last archived meeting: Rapid Vienna vs Sturm Graz on Aug 30, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Sturm Graz score 1.3 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Rapid Vienna score 3.1 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sturm Graz | 1.3 | 1.1 | 5 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
| Rapid Vienna | 3.1 | 1.0 | 7 | 8/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Sturm Graz sit 4th in Bundesliga (14 points from 8 matches) and Rapid Vienna sit 1st (21 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rapid Vienna | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 23 | 7 | 21 |
| 4 | Sturm Graz | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 9 | 14 |
A question about Sturm Graz vs Rapid Vienna?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Sturm Graz vs Rapid Vienna?
- The Footlab AI model makes Rapid Vienna the favourite at 43%, against 25% for a draw and 32% for Sturm Graz.
- Where and when is Sturm Graz vs Rapid Vienna played?
- Sturm Graz vs Rapid Vienna is played on February 13, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Merkur Arena, in the Bundesliga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.