Ried vs Lask Linz: prediction and stats
BundesligaRegular Season - 12Kick-off on November 7, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Innviertel Arena, Ried Im Innkreis
The Footlab model makes Lask Linz the favourite at 52%, against 24% for a draw and 24% for Ried. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ried vs Lask Linz?
Lask Linz starts as the favourite with a 199-point Elo edge (2,115 vs 1,916).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ried have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Lask Linz have 11, 0 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Grazer AK(home) | 1-0 | Bundesliga |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Lask Linz(away) | 1-4 | Bundesliga |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Rapid Vienna(home) | 1-2 | Bundesliga |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Austria Lustenau(away) | 1-1 | Bundesliga |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Dornbirn(away) | 5-1 | Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 19, 2026 | Celtic(away) | 0-3 | UEFA Champions League |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Ried(home) | 4-1 | Bundesliga |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Austria Vienna(away) | 2-0 | Bundesliga |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Grazer AK(home) | 3-0 | Bundesliga |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Kalsdorf(away) | 7-0 | Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Ried win(s), 3 draw(s), 2 Lask Linz win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 14, 2026 | Lask Linz 4-1 Ried | Bundesliga |
| Mar 18, 2026 | Ried 1-2 Lask Linz | Cup |
| Feb 14, 2026 | Ried 1-1 Lask Linz | Bundesliga |
| Aug 30, 2025 | Lask Linz 1-3 Ried | Bundesliga |
| Mar 21, 2025 | Lask Linz 1-1 Ried | Friendlies Clubs |
| Feb 18, 2023 | Ried 1-1 Lask Linz | Bundesliga |
How many goals should we expect?
Ried score 1.4 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Lask Linz score 2.7 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ried | 1.4 | 1.8 | 2 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| Lask Linz | 2.7 | 1.0 | 6 | 6/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ried sit 7th in Bundesliga (4 points from 4 matches) and Lask Linz sit 2nd (9 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Lask Linz | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 1 | 9 |
| 7 | Ried | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ried vs Lask Linz?
- The Footlab model makes Lask Linz the favourite at 52%, against 24% for a draw and 24% for Ried.
- Where and when is Ried vs Lask Linz played?
- Ried vs Lask Linz is played on November 7, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Innviertel Arena, in the Bundesliga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.