Rincón vs Progreso: prediction and stats
Copa UruguayRound of 32Kick-off on September 18, 2024 at 11:30 PM (UTC)Complejo Deportivo Rentistas, Montevideo
Match cancelled
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Rincón have 4 wins, 2 draws and 9 defeats; Progreso have 2, 3 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2024 | Motril(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| May 5, 2024 | Huétor Vega(away) | 3-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| May 1, 2024 | Huétor Tájar(home) | 0-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Apr 27, 2024 | Arenas Armilla(away) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Apr 21, 2024 | Málaga II(home) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 14, 2024 | Cerro(home) | 0-1 | Primera División - Clausura |
| Sep 8, 2024 | Rampla Juniors(away) | 0-2 | Primera División - Clausura |
| Aug 18, 2024 | Miramar(home) | 0-0 | Primera División - Clausura |
| Jul 27, 2024 | Fenix(away) | 1-1 | Primera División |
| Jul 21, 2024 | Deportivo Maldonado(home) | 0-1 | Primera División |
How many goals should we expect?
Rincón score 0.8 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Progreso score 0.7 and concede 1.7.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rincón | 0.8 | 1.7 | 2 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
| Progreso | 0.7 | 1.7 | 2 | 6/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
A question about Rincón vs Progreso?
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy