Rincón vs Progreso: prediction and stats
Copa UruguayRound of 32Kick-off on September 18, 2024 at 11:30 PM (UTC)Complejo Deportivo Rentistas, Montevideo
Match cancelled
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Rincón have 4 wins, 2 draws and 9 defeats; Progreso have 2, 3 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2024 | Motril(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| May 5, 2024 | Huétor Vega(away) | 3-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| May 1, 2024 | Huétor Tájar(home) | 0-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Apr 27, 2024 | Arenas Armilla(away) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Apr 21, 2024 | Málaga II(home) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 14, 2024 | Cerro(home) | 0-1 | Primera División - Clausura |
| Sep 8, 2024 | Rampla Juniors(away) | 0-2 | Primera División - Clausura |
| Aug 18, 2024 | Miramar(home) | 0-0 | Primera División - Clausura |
| Jul 27, 2024 | Fenix(away) | 1-1 | Primera División |
| Jul 21, 2024 | Deportivo Maldonado(home) | 0-1 | Primera División |
How many goals should we expect?
Rincón score 0.8 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Progreso score 0.7 and concede 1.7.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rincón | 0.8 | 1.7 | 2 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
| Progreso | 0.7 | 1.7 | 2 | 6/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy