Río Negro vs Danubio: prediction and stats
Copa UruguayRound of 32Kick-off on September 11, 2024 at 11:30 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal Casto Martínez Laguarda, San José de Mayo
Match cancelled
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 5 matches in all competitions, Río Negro have 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 defeats; Danubio have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2024 | Porongos(home) | 4-0 | Copa Uruguay |
| Aug 10, 2024 | Boquita(away) | 2-1 | Copa Uruguay |
| Sep 5, 2023 | Campana(home) | 2-2 | Copa Uruguay |
| Aug 10, 2022 | Rampla Juniors(away) | 1-1 | Copa Uruguay |
| Jul 6, 2022 | Wanderers Santa Lucia(home) | 3-1 | Copa Uruguay |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 8, 2024 | Boston River(home) | 2-0 | Primera División - Clausura |
| Aug 18, 2024 | Fenix(home) | 1-0 | Primera División - Clausura |
| Jul 28, 2024 | Liverpool Montevideo(home) | 2-0 | Primera División |
| Jul 21, 2024 | Boston River(away) | 2-1 | Primera División |
| Jul 13, 2024 | Club Nacional(home) | 0-6 | Primera División |
How many goals should we expect?
Río Negro score 2.4 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 5; Danubio score 1.1 and concede 1.1.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Río Negro | 2.4 | 1.0 | 1 | 4/5 | 4/5 |
| Danubio | 1.1 | 1.1 | 6 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 5 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy