Rio Ave U23 vs Sporting CP U23: prediction and stats
Liga Revelação U23Regular Season - 10Kick-off on October 27, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Estádio do Rio Ave Futebol Clube, Vila do Conde
The Footlab AI model makes Rio Ave U23 the favourite at 37%, against 26% for a draw and 37% for Sporting CP U23. The most likely score is 1-1. If Rio Ave U23 wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,402 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Rio Ave U23 vs Sporting CP U23?
A very open match: only 35 Elo points separate Rio Ave U23 (1,652) and Sporting CP U23 (1,687).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Rio Ave U23 vs Sporting CP U23
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Rio Ave U23
Not enough data to predict the Rio Ave U23 lineup.
Sporting CP U23
Not enough data to predict the Sporting CP U23 lineup.
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 12:25 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Rio Ave U23 have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Sporting CP U23 have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | Felgueiras U23(away) | 2-2 | Liga Revelação U23 |
| Oct 6, 2026 | Moreirense U23(home) | 1-1 | Liga Revelação U23 |
| Sep 29, 2026 | Penafiel U23(home) | 1-0 | Liga Revelação U23 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Sporting Braga U23(home) | 1-1 | Liga Revelação U23 |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Famalicão U23(away) | 1-0 | Liga Revelação U23 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2026 | Estoril U23(away) | 0-1 | Liga Revelação U23 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Penafiel U23(home) | 1-1 | Liga Revelação U23 |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Academico Viseu U23(home) | 2-2 | Liga Revelação U23 |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Leixões U23(away) | 4-3 | Liga Revelação U23 |
| Sep 1, 2026 | Estrela U23(away) | 2-1 | Liga Revelação U23 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 1 Rio Ave U23 win, 2 draws, 2 Sporting CP U23 wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 28, 2023 | Sporting CP U23 3-0 Rio Ave U23 | Liga Revelação U23 |
| Feb 28, 2023 | Rio Ave U23 1-1 Sporting CP U23 | Liga Revelação U23 |
| Aug 25, 2022 | Sporting CP U23 0-2 Rio Ave U23 | Liga Revelação U23 |
| Feb 20, 2021 | Sporting CP U23 2-2 Rio Ave U23 | Liga Revelação U23 |
| Jan 16, 2021 | Rio Ave U23 0-2 Sporting CP U23 | Liga Revelação U23 |
Last archived meeting: Sporting CP U23 vs Rio Ave U23 on Apr 28, 2023
How many goals should we expect?
Rio Ave U23 score 1.3 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Sporting CP U23 score 1.5 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rio Ave U23 | 1.3 | 1.1 | 5 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
| Sporting CP U23 | 1.5 | 1.6 | 1 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Rio Ave U23 sit 4th in Liga Revelação U23 (13 points from 8 matches) and Sporting CP U23 sit 3rd (15 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Sporting CP U23 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 15 | 10 | 15 |
| 4 | Rio Ave U23 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 7 | 13 |
A question about Rio Ave U23 vs Sporting CP U23?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Rio Ave U23 vs Sporting CP U23?
- The Footlab AI model makes Rio Ave U23 the favourite at 37%, against 26% for a draw and 37% for Sporting CP U23.
- Where and when is Rio Ave U23 vs Sporting CP U23 played?
- Rio Ave U23 vs Sporting CP U23 is played on October 27, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio do Rio Ave Futebol Clube, in the Liga Revelação U23.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 27, 2026Estoril U23vsSanta Clara U23
- Oct 27, 2026Famalicão U23vsUnião Leiria U23
- Oct 27, 2026Portimonense U23vsMarítimo U23
- Oct 27, 2026Sporting Braga U23vsBenfica U23
- Oct 27, 2026Farense U23vsAcademico Viseu U23
- Oct 27, 2026Torreense U23vsEstrela U23
- Oct 27, 2026Felgueiras U23vsLeixões U23
- Oct 27, 2026Moreirense U23vsGil Vicente U23