Sporting Braga U23 vs Benfica U23: prediction and stats
Liga Revelação U23Regular Season - 10Kick-off on October 23, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Cidade Desportiva SC Braga, Braga
The Footlab AI model makes Sporting Braga U23 the favourite at 39%, against 23% for a draw and 38% for Benfica U23. The most likely score is 1-1. If Sporting Braga U23 wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,788 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 18, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Sporting Braga U23 vs Benfica U23?
A very open match: only 39 Elo points separate Sporting Braga U23 (1,673) and Benfica U23 (1,711).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Sporting Braga U23 vs Benfica U23
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Sporting Braga U23
Not enough data to predict the Sporting Braga U23 lineup.
Benfica U23
Not enough data to predict the Benfica U23 lineup.
Computed on October 18, 2026 at 04:26 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sporting Braga U23 have 4 wins, 6 draws and 5 defeats; Benfica U23 have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 12, 2026 | Marítimo U23(home) | 1-3 | Liga Revelação U23 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Rio Ave U23(away) | 1-1 | Liga Revelação U23 |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Moreirense U23(away) | 1-1 | Liga Revelação U23 |
| Sep 7, 2026 | Penafiel U23(home) | 3-3 | Liga Revelação U23 |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Torreense U23(away) | 1-1 | Liga Revelação U23 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | Penafiel U23(away) | 1-3 | Liga Revelação U23 |
| Sep 25, 2026 | Marítimo U23(away) | 3-1 | Liga Revelação U23 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Torreense U23(home) | 3-0 | Liga Revelação U23 |
| Sep 14, 2026 | União Leiria U23(away) | 2-1 | Liga Revelação U23 |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Vizela U23(home) | 0-1 | Liga Revelação U23 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Sporting Braga U23 wins, 2 draws, 2 Benfica U23 wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 11, 2026 | Benfica U23 1-1 Sporting Braga U23 | Taça Revelação U23 |
| Mar 4, 2026 | Sporting Braga U23 3-1 Benfica U23 | Liga Revelação U23 |
| Feb 8, 2026 | Benfica U23 2-1 Sporting Braga U23 | Liga Revelação U23 |
| May 16, 2023 | Benfica U23 0-0 Sporting Braga U23 | Taça Revelação U23 |
| Apr 4, 2023 | Benfica U23 1-0 Sporting Braga U23 | Liga Revelação U23 |
| Feb 14, 2023 | Sporting Braga U23 2-1 Benfica U23 | Liga Revelação U23 |
Last archived meeting: Benfica U23 vs Sporting Braga U23 on May 11, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Sporting Braga U23 score 1.4 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Benfica U23 score 1.5 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 69% probability of over 2.5 goals and 69% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sporting Braga U23 | 1.4 | 1.5 | 3 | 11/15 | 6/15 |
| Benfica U23 | 1.5 | 1.5 | 3 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Sporting Braga U23 sit 11th in Liga Revelação U23 (10 points from 8 matches) and Benfica U23 sit 12th (10 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Sporting Braga U23 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 12 | 12 | 10 |
| 12 | Benfica U23 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 12 | 10 |
A question about Sporting Braga U23 vs Benfica U23?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Sporting Braga U23 vs Benfica U23?
- The Footlab AI model makes Sporting Braga U23 the favourite at 39%, against 23% for a draw and 38% for Benfica U23.
- Where and when is Sporting Braga U23 vs Benfica U23 played?
- Sporting Braga U23 vs Benfica U23 is played on October 23, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Cidade Desportiva SC Braga, in the Liga Revelação U23.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 69% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
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