Rio Ave vs Estrela: result 2-1 and analysis
Primeira LigaRegular Season - 26Kick-off on March 15, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Estádio do Rio Ave Futebol Clube, Vila do Conde
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What was the result of Rio Ave vs Estrela?
Rio Ave won 2-1 on March 15, 2026.
Goalscorers
- 27′J. BlesaRio Ave
- 48′J. BlesaRio Ave
- 65′Rodrigo PinhoEstrela
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Rio Ave have 3 wins, 4 draws and 8 defeats; Estrela have 3, 6 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 9, 2026 | Tondela(away) | 1-0 | Primeira Liga |
| Mar 1, 2026 | Famalicao(home) | 0-0 | Primeira Liga |
| Feb 22, 2026 | FC Porto(away) | 0-1 | Primeira Liga |
| Feb 16, 2026 | Moreirense(home) | 1-2 | Primeira Liga |
| Feb 8, 2026 | SC Braga(away) | 0-3 | Primeira Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2026 | GIL Vicente(home) | 2-2 | Primeira Liga |
| Feb 28, 2026 | AVS(away) | 0-0 | Primeira Liga |
| Feb 20, 2026 | Tondela(home) | 0-2 | Primeira Liga |
| Feb 14, 2026 | Guimaraes(away) | 1-2 | Primeira Liga |
| Feb 7, 2026 | Santa Clara(home) | 1-0 | Primeira Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Rio Ave win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Estrela win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2025 | Estrela 1-2 Rio Ave | Primeira Liga |
| May 5, 2025 | Rio Ave 2-0 Estrela | Primeira Liga |
| Dec 23, 2024 | Estrela 1-0 Rio Ave | Primeira Liga |
| Apr 14, 2024 | Estrela 2-2 Rio Ave | Primeira Liga |
| Dec 2, 2023 | Rio Ave 1-1 Estrela | Primeira Liga |
| Feb 14, 2022 | Rio Ave 1-0 Estrela | Segunda Liga |
How many goals should we expect?
Rio Ave score 0.7 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Estrela score 1.1 and concede 2.0.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rio Ave | 0.7 | 1.7 | 2 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
| Estrela | 1.1 | 2.0 | 3 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Rio Ave sit 17th in Primeira Liga (0 points from 2 matches) and Estrela sit 9th (2 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Estrela | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 2 |
| 17 | Rio Ave | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy