Nacional vs Estoril: result 0-1 and analysis
Primeira LigaRegular Season - 26Kick-off on March 15, 2026 at 03:30 PM (UTC)Estádio da Madeira, Ilha da Madeira
Full time
What was the result of Nacional vs Estoril?
Estoril won 0-1 on March 15, 2026.
Goalscorers
- 8′F. BacherEstoril
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Nacional have 2 wins, 4 draws and 9 defeats; Estoril have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2026 | Moreirense(away) | 1-1 | Primeira Liga |
| Feb 28, 2026 | SC Braga(home) | 1-2 | Primeira Liga |
| Feb 21, 2026 | Arouca(away) | 0-3 | Primeira Liga |
| Feb 15, 2026 | FC Porto(home) | 0-1 | Primeira Liga |
| Feb 8, 2026 | Casa Pia(home) | 0-0 | Primeira Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2026 | Casa Pia(home) | 0-0 | Primeira Liga |
| Feb 27, 2026 | Sporting CP(away) | 0-3 | Primeira Liga |
| Feb 22, 2026 | GIL Vicente(home) | 3-1 | Primeira Liga |
| Feb 15, 2026 | AVS(away) | 0-3 | Primeira Liga |
| Feb 7, 2026 | Tondela(home) | 2-2 | Primeira Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Nacional win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Estoril win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 26, 2025 | Estoril 1-1 Nacional | Primeira Liga |
| Feb 15, 2025 | Nacional 2-2 Estoril | Primeira Liga |
| Sep 15, 2024 | Estoril 1-0 Nacional | Primeira Liga |
| Jul 25, 2021 | Nacional 1-2 Estoril | Taça da Liga |
| Dec 14, 2019 | Estoril 1-2 Nacional | Segunda Liga |
| Apr 9, 2017 | Estoril 0-1 Nacional | Primeira Liga |
How many goals should we expect?
Nacional score 1.3 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Estoril score 1.9 and concede 1.8.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nacional | 1.3 | 1.7 | 2 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
| Estoril | 1.9 | 1.8 | 3 | 8/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Nacional sit 4th in Primeira Liga (4 points from 2 matches) and Estoril sit 13th (1 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Nacional | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 4 |
| 13 | Estoril | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy