River Plate vs Racing Club: prediction and stats
Liga Profesional ArgentinaClausura - 14Kick-off on October 25, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Mâs Monumental, Capital Federal, Ciudad de Buenos Aires
The Footlab AI model makes River Plate the favourite at 66%, against 21% for a draw and 13% for Racing Club. The most likely score is 2-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 1,754 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 9, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win River Plate vs Racing Club?
On Elo ratings, River Plate has 1,987 points and Racing Club 1,939.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for River Plate vs Racing Club
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
River Plate
4-2-3-1- 9S. Driussi
- 10Á. Correa
- 50T. Andrada
- 23T. Almada
- 26T. Galván
- 15F. Vera
- 30N. Otamendi
- 28L. Martínez
- 29G. Montiel
- 21M. Acuña
- 41S. Beltrán
Racing Club
4-3-3- 9A. Martínez
- 32L. Díaz
- 17T. Conechny
- 16D. Ortegoza
- 33L. Pérez
- 20G. Lodico
- 19I. Rodríguez
- 38M. Martinez
- 43G. Escudero
- 4E. Cannavo
- 25F. Cambeses
Computed on October 9, 2026 at 01:43 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, River Plate have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Racing Club have 6, 2 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 19, 2026 | Huracan(home) | 1-2 | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Atletico Tucuman(away) | 2-1 | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Independ. Rivadavia(home) | 3-1 | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Banfield(away) | 3-2 | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Aug 27, 2026 | Santa Fe(home) | 1-1 | CONMEBOL Sudamericana |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 5, 2026 | Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto(away) | 2-1 | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Boca Juniors(home) | 2-3 | Copa Argentina |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Sarmiento Junin(home) | 3-1 | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Huracan(away) | 1-2 | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Sep 7, 2026 | Atletico Tucuman(home) | 1-2 | Liga Profesional Argentina |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 River Plate wins, 0 draws, 2 Racing Club wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 12, 2026 | Racing Club 0-2 River Plate | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Nov 24, 2025 | Racing Club 3-2 River Plate | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Oct 2, 2025 | Racing Club 0-1 River Plate | Copa Argentina |
| Dec 15, 2024 | Racing Club 1-0 River Plate | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Jul 29, 2023 | River Plate 2-1 Racing Club | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Oct 23, 2022 | Racing Club 1-2 River Plate | Liga Profesional Argentina |
Last archived meeting: Racing Club vs River Plate on Apr 12, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
River Plate score 1.3 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Racing Club score 1.5 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| River Plate | 1.3 | 1.3 | 3 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Racing Club | 1.5 | 1.4 | 3 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
River Plate sit 9th in Liga Profesional Argentina (13 points from 10 matches) and Racing Club sit 12th (11 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | River Plate | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 13 | 12 | 13 |
| 12 | Racing Club | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 13 | 17 | 11 |
A question about River Plate vs Racing Club?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for River Plate vs Racing Club?
- The Footlab AI model makes River Plate the favourite at 66%, against 21% for a draw and 13% for Racing Club.
- Where and when is River Plate vs Racing Club played?
- River Plate vs Racing Club is played on October 25, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Mâs Monumental, in the Liga Profesional Argentina.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
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