River Plate vs Racing Club: prediction and stats
Liga Profesional ArgentinaClausura - 14Kick-off on October 25, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Mâs Monumental, Capital Federal, Ciudad de Buenos Aires
The Footlab model makes River Plate the favourite at 48%, against 28% for a draw and 23% for Racing Club. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win River Plate vs Racing Club?
A very open match: only 11 Elo points separate River Plate (1,928) and Racing Club (1,918).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, River Plate have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Racing Club have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | Santa Fe(away) | 0-0 | CONMEBOL Sudamericana |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Argentinos JRS(home) | 2-0 | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Tigre(away) | 0-1 | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Rosario Central(home) | 0-1 | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Gimnasia L.P.(away) | 0-1 | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 19, 2026 | Belgrano Cordoba(home) | 1-0 | Copa Argentina |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Banfield(home) | 0-1 | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Argentinos JRS(away) | 1-2 | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Tigre(home) | 1-3 | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Rosario Central(away) | 0-0 | Liga Profesional Argentina |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 River Plate win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Racing Club win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 12, 2026 | Racing Club 0-2 River Plate | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Nov 24, 2025 | Racing Club 3-2 River Plate | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Oct 2, 2025 | Racing Club 0-1 River Plate | Copa Argentina |
| Dec 15, 2024 | Racing Club 1-0 River Plate | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Jul 29, 2023 | River Plate 2-1 Racing Club | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Oct 23, 2022 | Racing Club 1-2 River Plate | Liga Profesional Argentina |
Last archived meeting: Racing Club vs River Plate on Apr 12, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
River Plate score 1.0 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Racing Club score 1.2 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 41% probability of over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| River Plate | 1.0 | 0.9 | 5 | 5/15 | 4/15 |
| Racing Club | 1.2 | 1.1 | 5 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
River Plate sit 2nd in Liga Profesional Argentina (29 points from 16 matches) and Racing Club sit 8th (21 points from 16 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | River Plate | 16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 22 | 12 | 29 |
| 8 | Racing Club | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 17 | 15 | 21 |
| 13 | Racing Club | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 4 |
| 14 | River Plate | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for River Plate vs Racing Club?
- The Footlab model makes River Plate the favourite at 48%, against 28% for a draw and 23% for Racing Club.
- Where and when is River Plate vs Racing Club played?
- River Plate vs Racing Club is played on October 25, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Mâs Monumental, in the Liga Profesional Argentina.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 41% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 25, 2026Gimnasia L.P.vsSarmiento Junin
- Oct 25, 2026Rosario CentralvsHuracan
- Oct 25, 2026Union Santa FevsEstudiantes L.P.
- Oct 25, 2026BanfieldvsLanus
- Oct 25, 2026TigrevsAtletico Tucuman
- Oct 25, 2026IndependientevsBoca Juniors
- Oct 25, 2026Talleres CordobavsDefensa Y Justicia
- Oct 25, 2026Argentinos JRSvsIndepend. Rivadavia