Rizespor vs Samsunspor: prediction and stats
Süper LigRegular Season - 2Kick-off on August 22, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Çaykur Didi Stadyumu, Rize
The Footlab model makes Rizespor the favourite at 42%, against 26% for a draw and 32% for Samsunspor. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 22, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Rizespor vs Samsunspor?
A very open match: only 79 Elo points separate Rizespor (1,943) and Samsunspor (2,022).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Rizespor have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Samsunspor have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Konyaspor(away) | 1-0 | Süper Lig |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Pyramids FC(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Abha(home) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Hull City(home) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | NK Osijek(away) | 3-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 17, 2026 | Göztepe(home) | 3-3 | Süper Lig |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Kasımpaşa(away) | 0-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | KVC Westerlo(away) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 29, 2026 | AEK Athens FC(away) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | RAAL La Louvière(away) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Rizespor win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Samsunspor win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 9, 2026 | Rizespor 4-1 Samsunspor | Süper Lig |
| Oct 27, 2025 | Samsunspor 1-1 Rizespor | Süper Lig |
| Feb 22, 2025 | Samsunspor 2-3 Rizespor | Süper Lig |
| Sep 22, 2024 | Rizespor 0-1 Samsunspor | Süper Lig |
| Feb 23, 2024 | Samsunspor 3-0 Rizespor | Süper Lig |
| Oct 8, 2023 | Rizespor 1-0 Samsunspor | Süper Lig |
Last archived meeting: Rizespor vs Samsunspor on Apr 9, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Rizespor score 1.4 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Samsunspor score 1.7 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rizespor | 1.4 | 1.4 | 3 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| Samsunspor | 1.7 | 1.6 | 3 | 10/15 | 13/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Rizespor sit 6th in Süper Lig (3 points from 1 matches) and Samsunspor sit 8th (1 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Rizespor | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 8 | Samsunspor | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 1 |
Who is out?
7 reported absence(s) for this match.
- F. OrakRizesporOut(Inactive)
- H. AliqulovRizesporOut(Knee Injury)
- E. TavşanSamsunsporOut(Inactive)
- I. DrapińskiSamsunsporOut(Inactive)
- K. AssoumouSamsunsporOut(Inactive)
- T. CoulibalySamsunsporOut(Inactive)
- Y. ÇiftSamsunsporOut(Inactive)
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Rizespor vs Samsunspor?
- The Footlab model makes Rizespor the favourite at 42%, against 26% for a draw and 32% for Samsunspor.
- Where and when is Rizespor vs Samsunspor played?
- Rizespor vs Samsunspor is played on August 22, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Çaykur Didi Stadyumu, in the Süper Lig.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.