Trabzonspor vs Başakşehir: prediction and stats
Süper LigRegular Season - 2Kick-off on August 23, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Papara Park, Trabzon
The Footlab model makes Trabzonspor the favourite at 40%, against 27% for a draw and 34% for Başakşehir. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 22, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Trabzonspor vs Başakşehir?
A very open match: only 31 Elo points separate Trabzonspor (2,077) and Başakşehir (2,046).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Trabzonspor have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Başakşehir have 7, 5 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | Ferencvarosi TC(home) | 0-1 | UEFA Europa League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Kasımpaşa(away) | 1-1 | Süper Lig |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Göztepe(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Udinese(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 30, 2026 | Al Sadd(home) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Kocaelispor(home) | 2-0 | Süper Lig |
| Jul 30, 2026 | Inter Turku(away) | 0-2 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Jul 22, 2026 | Inter Turku(home) | 1-1 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Jul 16, 2026 | Puskas Academy(away) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 15, 2026 | Red Bull Salzburg(away) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 5 Trabzonspor win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Başakşehir win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 19, 2026 | Trabzonspor 1-1 Başakşehir | Süper Lig |
| Mar 3, 2026 | Başakşehir 2-4 Trabzonspor | Türkiye Kupası |
| Nov 24, 2025 | Başakşehir 3-4 Trabzonspor | Süper Lig |
| Mar 15, 2025 | Başakşehir 0-3 Trabzonspor | Süper Lig |
| Oct 19, 2024 | Trabzonspor 1-0 Başakşehir | Süper Lig |
| May 18, 2024 | Başakşehir 0-1 Trabzonspor | Süper Lig |
Last archived meeting: Trabzonspor vs Başakşehir on Apr 19, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Trabzonspor score 1.0 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Başakşehir score 1.5 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trabzonspor | 1.0 | 1.1 | 2 | 10/15 | 7/15 |
| Başakşehir | 1.5 | 0.9 | 7 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Trabzonspor sit 13th in Süper Lig (1 points from 1 matches) and Başakşehir sit 3rd (3 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Başakşehir | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 13 | Trabzonspor | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
Who is out?
3 reported absence(s) for this match.
- A. BatagovTrabzonsporOut(Knee Injury)
- O. YokuşluTrabzonsporOut(Lacking Match Fitness)
- T. Jabol-FolcarelliTrabzonsporOut(Knee Injury)
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Trabzonspor vs Başakşehir?
- The Footlab model makes Trabzonspor the favourite at 40%, against 27% for a draw and 34% for Başakşehir.
- Where and when is Trabzonspor vs Başakşehir played?
- Trabzonspor vs Başakşehir is played on August 23, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Papara Park, in the Süper Lig.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.