Kocaelispor vs Amed: prediction and stats
Süper LigRegular Season - 2Kick-off on August 24, 2026 at 06:30 PM (UTC)Yıldız Entegre Kocaeli Stadyumu, Kocaeli
The Footlab model makes Amed the favourite at 37%, against 27% for a draw and 35% for Kocaelispor. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 22, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Kocaelispor vs Amed?
A very open match: only 67 Elo points separate Kocaelispor (1,857) and Amed (1,924).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Kocaelispor have 2 wins, 4 draws and 9 defeats; Amed have 7, 7 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Başakşehir(away) | 0-2 | Süper Lig |
| May 17, 2026 | Antalyaspor(away) | 0-1 | Süper Lig |
| May 9, 2026 | Fatih Karagümrük(home) | 0-1 | Süper Lig |
| May 3, 2026 | Kasımpaşa(away) | 1-1 | Süper Lig |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Gençlerbirliği S.K.(away) | 0-1 | Süper Lig |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Erzurumspor FK(home) | 3-0 | Süper Lig |
| May 2, 2026 | Iğdır FK(away) | 3-3 | 1. Lig |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Bodrum FK(home) | 1-1 | 1. Lig |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Bandırmaspor(away) | 0-2 | 1. Lig |
| Apr 13, 2026 | Ümraniyespor(home) | 2-2 | 1. Lig |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Kocaelispor win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 Amed win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 8, 2025 | Kocaelispor 1-0 Amed | 1. Lig |
| Sep 2, 2024 | Amed 3-0 Kocaelispor | 1. Lig |
| Mar 24, 2021 | Kocaelispor 1-2 Amed | 2. Lig |
| Nov 18, 2020 | Amed 3-0 Kocaelispor | 2. Lig |
How many goals should we expect?
Kocaelispor score 0.5 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Amed score 2.1 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kocaelispor | 0.5 | 1.3 | 3 | 4/15 | 3/15 |
| Amed | 2.1 | 0.9 | 6 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Kocaelispor sit 17th in Süper Lig (0 points from 1 matches) and Amed sit 2nd (3 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Amed | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 17 | Kocaelispor | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
Who is out?
2 reported absence(s) for this match.
- A. JovanovićKocaelisporOut(Knee Injury)
- B. PetkovićKocaelisporDoubtful(Hamstring Injury)
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Kocaelispor vs Amed?
- The Footlab model makes Amed the favourite at 37%, against 27% for a draw and 35% for Kocaelispor.
- Where and when is Kocaelispor vs Amed played?
- Kocaelispor vs Amed is played on August 24, 2026 at 06:30 PM (UTC) at Yıldız Entegre Kocaeli Stadyumu, in the Süper Lig.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.