Çorum FK vs Kasımpaşa: prediction and stats
Süper LigRegular Season - 2Kick-off on August 22, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Çorum Şehir Stadyumu, Çorum
The Footlab model makes Çorum FK the favourite at 46%, against 26% for a draw and 28% for Kasımpaşa. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 22, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Çorum FK vs Kasımpaşa?
A very open match: only 24 Elo points separate Çorum FK (1,932) and Kasımpaşa (1,908).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Çorum FK have 9 wins, 4 draws and 2 defeats; Kasımpaşa have 7, 5 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 14, 2026 | Galatasaray(away) | 2-2 | Süper Lig |
| May 24, 2026 | Esenler Erokspor(away) | 2-0 | 1. Lig |
| May 15, 2026 | Bodrum FK(home) | 1-0 | 1. Lig |
| May 11, 2026 | Bodrum FK(away) | 0-1 | 1. Lig |
| May 7, 2026 | Keçiörengücü(home) | 1-0 | 1. Lig |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Trabzonspor(home) | 1-1 | Süper Lig |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Samsunspor(home) | 3-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Hull City(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Gençlerbirliği S.K.(home) | 3-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 19, 2026 | Kayserispor(away) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Çorum FK win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Kasımpaşa win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 24, 2019 | Çorum FK 0-1 Kasımpaşa | Türkiye Kupası |
Last archived meeting: Çorum FK vs Kasımpaşa on Sep 24, 2019
How many goals should we expect?
Çorum FK score 1.7 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Kasımpaşa score 1.5 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Çorum FK | 1.7 | 0.7 | 5 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
| Kasımpaşa | 1.5 | 1.1 | 6 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Çorum FK sit 9th in Süper Lig (1 points from 1 matches) and Kasımpaşa sit 12th (1 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Çorum FK | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| 12 | Kasımpaşa | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
Who is out?
4 reported absence(s) for this match.
- K. ÇörekçiKasımpaşaOut(Achilles Tendon Injury)
- A. KyziridisÇorum FKOut(Red Card)
- H. SmolčićÇorum FKDoubtful(Injury)
- S. OsmanoğluÇorum FKDoubtful(Injury)
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Çorum FK vs Kasımpaşa?
- The Footlab model makes Çorum FK the favourite at 46%, against 26% for a draw and 28% for Kasımpaşa.
- Where and when is Çorum FK vs Kasımpaşa played?
- Çorum FK vs Kasımpaşa is played on August 22, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Çorum Şehir Stadyumu, in the Süper Lig.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.