Roasso Kumamoto vs FC Ryukyu: prediction and stats
J3 LeagueRegular Season - 23Kick-off on February 20, 2027 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Egao Kenko Stadium, Kumamoto
The Footlab model makes Roasso Kumamoto the favourite at 45%, against 28% for a draw and 27% for FC Ryukyu. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Roasso Kumamoto vs FC Ryukyu?
A very open match: only 98 Elo points separate Roasso Kumamoto (1,700) and FC Ryukyu (1,601).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Roasso Kumamoto have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; FC Ryukyu have 3, 5 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Parceiro Nagano(home) | 0-1 | J3 League |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Gainare Tottori(away) | 2-2 | Emperor Cup |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Tochigi SC(home) | 0-0 | J3 League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Sagamihara(away) | 0-0 | J3 League |
| Jul 19, 2026 | Yokohama F. Marinos(away) | 1-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Osaka(away) | 2-2 | J3 League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Renofa Yamaguchi(away) | 0-1 | J3 League |
| Jul 17, 2026 | Urawa(home) | 5-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jun 7, 2026 | Fukushima United(away) | 1-1 | J2/J3 League |
| May 31, 2026 | Imabari(away) | 2-1 | J2/J3 League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 1 Roasso Kumamoto win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 FC Ryukyu win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Roasso Kumamoto 0-1 FC Ryukyu | J2/J3 League |
| Apr 4, 2026 | FC Ryukyu 0-1 Roasso Kumamoto | J2/J3 League |
| Jun 21, 2023 | Roasso Kumamoto 2-2 FC Ryukyu | Emperor Cup |
| Jul 30, 2022 | FC Ryukyu 2-0 Roasso Kumamoto | J2 League |
| May 8, 2022 | Roasso Kumamoto 0-2 FC Ryukyu | J2 League |
Last archived meeting: Roasso Kumamoto vs FC Ryukyu on May 10, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Roasso Kumamoto score 0.9 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; FC Ryukyu score 1.1 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 44% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Roasso Kumamoto | 0.9 | 1.1 | 6 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
| FC Ryukyu | 1.1 | 1.5 | 2 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Roasso Kumamoto sit 17th in J3 League (2 points from 3 matches) and FC Ryukyu sit 18th (1 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Roasso Kumamoto | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
| 18 | FC Ryukyu | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Roasso Kumamoto vs FC Ryukyu?
- The Footlab model makes Roasso Kumamoto the favourite at 45%, against 28% for a draw and 27% for FC Ryukyu.
- Where and when is Roasso Kumamoto vs FC Ryukyu played?
- Roasso Kumamoto vs FC Ryukyu is played on February 20, 2027 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Egao Kenko Stadium, in the J3 League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Feb 20, 2027Renofa YamaguchivsFC Gifu
- Feb 20, 2027Tochigi SCvsGainare Tottori
- Feb 20, 2027Ehime FCvsKochi United
- Feb 20, 2027Thespakusatsu GunmavsParceiro Nagano
- Feb 20, 2027Kagoshima UnitedvsKanazawa
- Feb 20, 2027SagamiharavsMatsumoto Yamaga
- Feb 20, 2027Biwako ShigavsFukushima United
- Feb 20, 2027Nara ClubvsKamatamare Sanuki