Match

Roasso Kumamoto vs FC Ryukyu: prediction and stats

J3 LeagueRegular Season - 23Kick-off on February 20, 2027 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Egao Kenko Stadium, Kumamoto

Roasso KumamotoFC Ryukyu

The Footlab model makes Roasso Kumamoto the favourite at 45%, against 28% for a draw and 27% for FC Ryukyu. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Roasso Kumamoto vs FC Ryukyu?

A very open match: only 98 Elo points separate Roasso Kumamoto (1,700) and FC Ryukyu (1,601).

Roasso Kumamoto win45 %
Draw28 %
FC Ryukyu win27 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Roasso Kumamoto have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; FC Ryukyu have 3, 5 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Roasso Kumamoto
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Parceiro Nagano(home)0-1J3 League
Aug 19, 2026Gainare Tottori(away)2-2Emperor Cup
Aug 15, 2026Tochigi SC(home)0-0J3 League
Aug 8, 2026Sagamihara(away)0-0J3 League
Jul 19, 2026Yokohama F. Marinos(away)1-3Friendlies Clubs
FC Ryukyu
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Osaka(away)2-2J3 League
Aug 15, 2026Renofa Yamaguchi(away)0-1J3 League
Jul 17, 2026Urawa(home)5-4Friendlies Clubs
Jun 7, 2026Fukushima United(away)1-1J2/J3 League
May 31, 2026Imabari(away)2-1J2/J3 League

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 5 meetings: 1 Roasso Kumamoto win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 FC Ryukyu win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
May 10, 2026Roasso Kumamoto 0-1 FC RyukyuJ2/J3 League
Apr 4, 2026FC Ryukyu 0-1 Roasso KumamotoJ2/J3 League
Jun 21, 2023Roasso Kumamoto 2-2 FC RyukyuEmperor Cup
Jul 30, 2022FC Ryukyu 2-0 Roasso KumamotoJ2 League
May 8, 2022Roasso Kumamoto 0-2 FC RyukyuJ2 League

Last archived meeting: Roasso Kumamoto vs FC Ryukyu on May 10, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Roasso Kumamoto score 0.9 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; FC Ryukyu score 1.1 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 44% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Roasso Kumamoto0.91.165/155/15
FC Ryukyu1.11.528/156/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Roasso Kumamoto sit 17th in J3 League (2 points from 3 matches) and FC Ryukyu sit 18th (1 points from 2 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
17Roasso Kumamoto3021012
18FC Ryukyu2011231

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Roasso Kumamoto vs FC Ryukyu?
The Footlab model makes Roasso Kumamoto the favourite at 45%, against 28% for a draw and 27% for FC Ryukyu.
Where and when is Roasso Kumamoto vs FC Ryukyu played?
Roasso Kumamoto vs FC Ryukyu is played on February 20, 2027 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Egao Kenko Stadium, in the J3 League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Roasso Kumamoto and FC Ryukyu

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