Where and when is Kitakyushu vs Roasso Kumamoto played?

Kitakyushu vs Roasso Kumamoto is played on February 27, 2027 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Mikuni World Stadium, in the J3 League.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Kitakyushu vs Roasso Kumamoto: prediction and stats

J3 LeagueRegular Season - 24Kick-off on February 27, 2027 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Mikuni World Stadium, Kitakyushu

Kitakyushu

Roasso Kumamoto

The Footlab model makes Roasso Kumamoto the favourite at 37%, against 29% for a draw and 34% for Kitakyushu. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Kitakyushu vs Roasso Kumamoto?

A very open match: only 80 Elo points separate Kitakyushu (1,620) and Roasso Kumamoto (1,700).

Kitakyushu win34 %

Draw29 %

Roasso Kumamoto win37 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Kitakyushu have 2 wins, 4 draws and 9 defeats; Roasso Kumamoto have 5, 4 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Kitakyushu
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Tochigi SC(away)	2-2	J3 League
Aug 19, 2026	Okinawa SV(home)	1-2	Emperor Cup
Aug 15, 2026	Kamatamare Sanuki(home)	0-0	J3 League
Jul 18, 2026	Yokohama FC(away)	2-3	Friendlies Clubs
Jun 7, 2026	Tochigi SC(away)	1-2	J2/J3 League

Roasso Kumamoto
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Parceiro Nagano(home)	0-1	J3 League
Aug 19, 2026	Gainare Tottori(away)	2-2	Emperor Cup
Aug 15, 2026	Tochigi SC(home)	0-0	J3 League
Aug 8, 2026	Sagamihara(away)	0-0	J3 League
Jul 19, 2026	Yokohama F. Marinos(away)	1-3	Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Kitakyushu win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 Roasso Kumamoto win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
May 6, 2026	Kitakyushu 1-2 Roasso Kumamoto	J2/J3 League
Feb 22, 2026	Roasso Kumamoto 4-1 Kitakyushu	J2/J3 League
May 27, 2024	Roasso Kumamoto 1-1 Kitakyushu	Friendlies Clubs
Nov 10, 2019	Roasso Kumamoto 1-1 Kitakyushu	J3 League
Jun 2, 2019	Kitakyushu 1-2 Roasso Kumamoto	J3 League
Aug 21, 2016	Roasso Kumamoto 1-6 Kitakyushu	J2 League

Last archived meeting: Kitakyushu vs Roasso Kumamoto on May 6, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Kitakyushu score 1.1 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Roasso Kumamoto score 0.9 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 44% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Kitakyushu	1.1	1.9	2	10/15	10/15
Roasso Kumamoto	0.9	1.1	6	5/15	5/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Kitakyushu sit 15th in J3 League (2 points from 2 matches) and Roasso Kumamoto sit 17th (2 points from 3 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
15	Kitakyushu	2	0	2	0	2	2	2
17	Roasso Kumamoto	3	0	2	1	0	1	2

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Kitakyushu vs Roasso Kumamoto?: The Footlab model makes Roasso Kumamoto the favourite at 37%, against 29% for a draw and 34% for Kitakyushu.
Where and when is Kitakyushu vs Roasso Kumamoto played?: Kitakyushu vs Roasso Kumamoto is played on February 27, 2027 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Mikuni World Stadium, in the J3 League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.