Match

Tochigi SC vs Gainare Tottori: prediction and stats

J3 LeagueRegular Season - 23Kick-off on February 20, 2027 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Kanseki Stadium, Utsunomiya

Tochigi SCGainare Tottori

The Footlab model makes Tochigi SC the favourite at 47%, against 25% for a draw and 27% for Gainare Tottori. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Tochigi SC vs Gainare Tottori?

A very open match: only 35 Elo points separate Tochigi SC (1,729) and Gainare Tottori (1,694).

Tochigi SC win47 %
Draw25 %
Gainare Tottori win27 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Tochigi SC have 3 wins, 7 draws and 5 defeats; Gainare Tottori have 7, 5 and 3.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Tochigi SC
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 26, 2026Kawasaki Frontale(away)1-3Emperor Cup
Aug 22, 2026Kitakyushu(home)2-2J3 League
Aug 19, 2026Urayasu(home)2-0Emperor Cup
Aug 15, 2026Roasso Kumamoto(away)0-0J3 League
Aug 9, 2026Kanazawa(home)3-2J3 League
Gainare Tottori
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 26, 2026Nagoya Grampus(away)3-1Emperor Cup
Aug 22, 2026Fukushima United(home)2-1J3 League
Aug 19, 2026Roasso Kumamoto(home)2-2Emperor Cup
Aug 16, 2026Ehime FC(away)0-4J3 League
Aug 8, 2026Osaka(home)1-1J3 League

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Tochigi SC win(s), 3 draw(s), 1 Gainare Tottori win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Nov 23, 2025Tochigi SC 2-1 Gainare TottoriJ3 League
Jun 21, 2025Gainare Tottori 2-1 Tochigi SCJ3 League
Nov 19, 2017Tochigi SC 1-1 Gainare TottoriJ3 League
Mar 19, 2017Gainare Tottori 1-1 Tochigi SCJ3 League
Nov 5, 2016Gainare Tottori 0-1 Tochigi SCJ3 League
Mar 13, 2016Tochigi SC 0-0 Gainare TottoriJ3 League

Last archived meeting: Tochigi SC vs Gainare Tottori on Nov 23, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Tochigi SC score 1.0 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Gainare Tottori score 1.7 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Tochigi SC1.01.258/157/15
Gainare Tottori1.71.5111/1510/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Tochigi SC sit 8th in J3 League (5 points from 3 matches) and Gainare Tottori sit 10th (4 points from 3 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
8Tochigi SC3120545
10Gainare Tottori3111364

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Tochigi SC vs Gainare Tottori?
The Footlab model makes Tochigi SC the favourite at 47%, against 25% for a draw and 27% for Gainare Tottori.
Where and when is Tochigi SC vs Gainare Tottori played?
Tochigi SC vs Gainare Tottori is played on February 20, 2027 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Kanseki Stadium, in the J3 League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Tochigi SC and Gainare Tottori

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