Tochigi SC vs Gainare Tottori: prediction and stats
J3 LeagueRegular Season - 23Kick-off on February 20, 2027 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Kanseki Stadium, Utsunomiya
The Footlab model makes Tochigi SC the favourite at 47%, against 25% for a draw and 27% for Gainare Tottori. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Tochigi SC vs Gainare Tottori?
A very open match: only 35 Elo points separate Tochigi SC (1,729) and Gainare Tottori (1,694).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Tochigi SC have 3 wins, 7 draws and 5 defeats; Gainare Tottori have 7, 5 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 26, 2026 | Kawasaki Frontale(away) | 1-3 | Emperor Cup |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Kitakyushu(home) | 2-2 | J3 League |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Urayasu(home) | 2-0 | Emperor Cup |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Roasso Kumamoto(away) | 0-0 | J3 League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Kanazawa(home) | 3-2 | J3 League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 26, 2026 | Nagoya Grampus(away) | 3-1 | Emperor Cup |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Fukushima United(home) | 2-1 | J3 League |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Roasso Kumamoto(home) | 2-2 | Emperor Cup |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Ehime FC(away) | 0-4 | J3 League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Osaka(home) | 1-1 | J3 League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Tochigi SC win(s), 3 draw(s), 1 Gainare Tottori win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 23, 2025 | Tochigi SC 2-1 Gainare Tottori | J3 League |
| Jun 21, 2025 | Gainare Tottori 2-1 Tochigi SC | J3 League |
| Nov 19, 2017 | Tochigi SC 1-1 Gainare Tottori | J3 League |
| Mar 19, 2017 | Gainare Tottori 1-1 Tochigi SC | J3 League |
| Nov 5, 2016 | Gainare Tottori 0-1 Tochigi SC | J3 League |
| Mar 13, 2016 | Tochigi SC 0-0 Gainare Tottori | J3 League |
Last archived meeting: Tochigi SC vs Gainare Tottori on Nov 23, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Tochigi SC score 1.0 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Gainare Tottori score 1.7 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tochigi SC | 1.0 | 1.2 | 5 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Gainare Tottori | 1.7 | 1.5 | 1 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Tochigi SC sit 8th in J3 League (5 points from 3 matches) and Gainare Tottori sit 10th (4 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Tochigi SC | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 5 |
| 10 | Gainare Tottori | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Tochigi SC vs Gainare Tottori?
- The Footlab model makes Tochigi SC the favourite at 47%, against 25% for a draw and 27% for Gainare Tottori.
- Where and when is Tochigi SC vs Gainare Tottori played?
- Tochigi SC vs Gainare Tottori is played on February 20, 2027 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Kanseki Stadium, in the J3 League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Feb 20, 2027Renofa YamaguchivsFC Gifu
- Feb 20, 2027Roasso KumamotovsFC Ryukyu
- Feb 20, 2027Ehime FCvsKochi United
- Feb 20, 2027Thespakusatsu GunmavsParceiro Nagano
- Feb 20, 2027Kagoshima UnitedvsKanazawa
- Feb 20, 2027SagamiharavsMatsumoto Yamaga
- Feb 20, 2027Biwako ShigavsFukushima United
- Feb 20, 2027Nara ClubvsKamatamare Sanuki