Match

FC Ryukyu vs Kagoshima United: prediction and stats

J3 LeagueRegular Season - 24Kick-off on February 27, 2027 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Tapic Kenso Hiyagon Stadium, Okinawa

FC RyukyuKagoshima United

The Footlab model makes Kagoshima United the favourite at 54%, against 26% for a draw and 20% for FC Ryukyu. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win FC Ryukyu vs Kagoshima United?

Kagoshima United starts as the favourite with a 212-point Elo edge (1,814 vs 1,601).

FC Ryukyu win20 %
Draw26 %
Kagoshima United win54 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, FC Ryukyu have 3 wins, 5 draws and 7 defeats; Kagoshima United have 8, 3 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

FC Ryukyu
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Osaka(away)2-2J3 League
Aug 15, 2026Renofa Yamaguchi(away)0-1J3 League
Jul 17, 2026Urawa(home)5-4Friendlies Clubs
Jun 7, 2026Fukushima United(away)1-1J2/J3 League
May 31, 2026Imabari(away)2-1J2/J3 League
Kagoshima United
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 26, 2026Albirex Niigata(away)4-0Emperor Cup
Aug 22, 2026FC Gifu(home)0-0J3 League
Aug 19, 2026Renofa Yamaguchi(home)2-1Emperor Cup
Aug 16, 2026Nara Club(away)3-1J3 League
Aug 8, 2026Thespakusatsu Gunma(home)1-0J3 League

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 FC Ryukyu win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 Kagoshima United win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
May 3, 2026FC Ryukyu 1-1 Kagoshima UnitedJ2/J3 League
Feb 15, 2026Kagoshima United 3-1 FC RyukyuJ2/J3 League
Nov 23, 2025Kagoshima United 1-1 FC RyukyuJ3 League
May 6, 2025FC Ryukyu 1-2 Kagoshima UnitedJ3 League
Nov 11, 2023FC Ryukyu 2-0 Kagoshima UnitedJ3 League
May 14, 2023Kagoshima United 2-0 FC RyukyuJ3 League

Last archived meeting: FC Ryukyu vs Kagoshima United on May 3, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

FC Ryukyu score 1.1 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Kagoshima United score 1.5 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
FC Ryukyu1.11.528/156/15
Kagoshima United1.50.757/156/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

FC Ryukyu sit 18th in J3 League (1 points from 2 matches) and Kagoshima United sit 4th (7 points from 3 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
4Kagoshima United3210417
18FC Ryukyu2011231

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for FC Ryukyu vs Kagoshima United?
The Footlab model makes Kagoshima United the favourite at 54%, against 26% for a draw and 20% for FC Ryukyu.
Where and when is FC Ryukyu vs Kagoshima United played?
FC Ryukyu vs Kagoshima United is played on February 27, 2027 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Tapic Kenso Hiyagon Stadium, in the J3 League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: FC Ryukyu and Kagoshima United

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