Match

Rochdale vs Exeter City: prediction and stats

League TwoRegular Season - 40Kick-off on April 10, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Crown Oil Arena, Rochdale, Greater Manchester

RochdaleExeter City

The Footlab AI model makes Rochdale the favourite at 50%, against 27% for a draw and 23% for Exeter City. The most likely score is 1-1. If Rochdale wins, the most likely score is 1-0.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,440 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Rochdale vs Exeter City?

On Elo ratings, Rochdale has 1,882 points and Exeter City 1,799.

50%27%23%
Rochdale winDrawExeter City win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Rochdale vs Exeter City

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Rochdale

4-2-3-1
  1. 39D. Brown
  1. 17B. Adeeko
  2. 8H. Gilmour
  3. 21Kane Taylor
  4. 45G. Middleton
  5. 7C. Hayes
  1. 3Kaiden Wilson
  2. 2C. Tasker
  3. 44A. Flint
  4. 13O. Adebayo-Rowling
  1. 1Nils Ramming

Exeter City

4-2-3-1
  1. 10J. Gordon
  1. 16C. Cummins
  2. 31J. Doyle-Hayes
  3. 8T. Perry
  4. 20George Birch
  5. 25A. Scully
  1. 5J. Fitzwater
  2. 3L. Woodhouse
  3. 2L. Samuel
  4. 6J. Taylor
  1. 1J. Bycroft

Computed on October 15, 2026 at 07:10 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Rochdale have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Exeter City have 4, 6 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Rochdale
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 10, 2026Tranmere(away)1-1League Two
Oct 6, 2026Huddersfield(away)0-5EFL Trophy
Oct 3, 2026Swindon Town(home)1-0League Two
Sep 26, 2026Fleetwood Town(away)2-1League Two
Sep 22, 2026Liverpool U21(home)3-3EFL Trophy
Exeter City
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 10, 2026Shrewsbury(away)1-0League Two
Oct 6, 2026Oxford United(home)2-2EFL Trophy
Oct 3, 2026Rotherham(home)1-0League Two
Sep 26, 2026Bristol Rovers(away)0-1League Two
Sep 22, 2026Cheltenham(away)2-2EFL Trophy

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Rochdale wins, 1 draw, 2 Exeter City wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Apr 23, 2022Exeter City 2-0 RochdaleLeague Two
Nov 27, 2021Rochdale 1-1 Exeter CityLeague Two
Feb 22, 2014Exeter City 0-1 RochdaleLeague Two
Nov 23, 2013Rochdale 3-1 Exeter CityLeague Two
Apr 1, 2013Exeter City 1-2 RochdaleLeague Two
Dec 8, 2012Rochdale 2-3 Exeter CityLeague Two

Last archived meeting: Exeter City vs Rochdale on Apr 23, 2022

How many goals should we expect?

Rochdale score 1.2 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Exeter City score 0.9 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Rochdale1.21.847/159/15
Exeter City0.90.965/153/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Rochdale sit 10th in League Two (14 points from 10 matches) and Exeter City sit 14th (12 points from 10 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
10Rochdale10424111214
14Exeter City103346612

A question about Rochdale vs Exeter City?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Rochdale vs Exeter City?
The Footlab AI model makes Rochdale the favourite at 50%, against 27% for a draw and 23% for Exeter City.
Where and when is Rochdale vs Exeter City played?
Rochdale vs Exeter City is played on April 10, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Crown Oil Arena, in the League Two.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Rochdale and Exeter City

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