Match

Exeter City vs Shrewsbury: prediction and stats

League TwoRegular Season - 41Kick-off on April 13, 2027 at 06:45 PM (UTC)St James Park, Exeter, Devon

Exeter CityShrewsbury

The Footlab AI model makes Exeter City the favourite at 50%, against 27% for a draw and 23% for Shrewsbury. The most likely score is 1-1. If Exeter City wins, the most likely score is 1-0.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 2,818 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 19, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Exeter City vs Shrewsbury?

Exeter City starts as the favourite with a 117-point Elo edge (1,811 vs 1,695).

50%27%23%
Exeter City winDrawShrewsbury win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Exeter City vs Shrewsbury

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Exeter City

4-2-3-1
  1. 10J. Gordon
  1. 16C. Cummins
  2. 31J. Doyle-Hayes
  3. 8T. Perry
  4. 20George Birch
  5. 25A. Scully
  1. 3L. Woodhouse
  2. 5J. Fitzwater
  3. 2L. Samuel
  4. 6J. Taylor
  1. 1J. Bycroft

Shrewsbury

3-4-1-2
  1. 9G. Lloyd
  2. 13J. Davison
  1. 10T. Sang
  2. 11K. Berkoe
  3. 2L. Hoole
  4. 7J. Turner-Cooke
  5. 18K. M. Brown
  1. 6S. Stubbs
  2. 5W. Boyle
  3. 3J. Ruffels
  1. 1William Michael Brook

Computed on October 19, 2026 at 06:26 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Exeter City have 4 wins, 6 draws and 5 defeats; Shrewsbury have 4, 3 and 8.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Exeter City
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 17, 2026Colchester(away)0-0League Two
Oct 10, 2026Shrewsbury(away)1-0League Two
Oct 6, 2026Oxford United(home)2-2EFL Trophy
Oct 3, 2026Rotherham(home)1-0League Two
Sep 26, 2026Bristol Rovers(away)0-1League Two
Shrewsbury
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 17, 2026Bristol Rovers(home)1-0League Two
Oct 10, 2026Exeter City(home)0-1League Two
Oct 6, 2026Stockport County(home)0-2EFL Trophy
Oct 3, 2026Grimsby(away)2-1League Two
Sep 26, 2026Colchester(home)2-2League Two

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Exeter City wins, 2 draws, 0 Shrewsbury wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Oct 10, 2026Shrewsbury 0-1 Exeter CityLeague Two
Mar 8, 2025Exeter City 2-0 ShrewsburyLeague One
Oct 17, 2024Shrewsbury 0-2 Exeter CityLeague One
Mar 12, 2024Shrewsbury 0-3 Exeter CityLeague One
Nov 28, 2023Exeter City 0-0 ShrewsburyLeague One
Feb 14, 2023Exeter City 0-0 ShrewsburyLeague One

Last archived meeting: Shrewsbury vs Exeter City on Oct 10, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Exeter City score 0.8 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Shrewsbury score 0.7 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Exeter City0.80.874/153/15
Shrewsbury0.71.535/155/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Exeter City sit 16th in League Two (13 points from 11 matches) and Shrewsbury sit 14th (14 points from 11 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
14Shrewsbury11425101514
16Exeter City113446613

A question about Exeter City vs Shrewsbury?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Exeter City vs Shrewsbury?
The Footlab AI model makes Exeter City the favourite at 50%, against 27% for a draw and 23% for Shrewsbury.
Where and when is Exeter City vs Shrewsbury played?
Exeter City vs Shrewsbury is played on April 13, 2027 at 06:45 PM (UTC) at St James Park, in the League Two.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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