Accrington ST vs Bristol Rovers: prediction and stats
League TwoRegular Season - 40Kick-off on April 10, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Wham Stadium, Accrington, Lancashire
The Footlab AI model makes Accrington ST the favourite at 43%, against 29% for a draw and 28% for Bristol Rovers. The most likely score is 1-1. If Accrington ST wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,793 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 19, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Accrington ST vs Bristol Rovers?
A very open match: only 12 Elo points separate Accrington ST (1,750) and Bristol Rovers (1,763).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Accrington ST vs Bristol Rovers
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Accrington ST
3-4-1-2- 23T. Walton
- 30C. Warren
- 33D. Tutonda
- 38C. O'Brien
- 2D. Love
- 14Stefan Mols
- 39J. Woods
- 22J. Anderson
- 17D. Matthews
- 28S. Conneely
- 1L. Moulden
Bristol Rovers
4-2-3-1- 29F. Cavegn
- 6C. Mola
- 7S. Forde
- 21R. Smallwood
- 22Keenan Gough
- 10B. Kamwa
- 2T. James
- 4K. Balmer
- 17C. Kelly
- 14B. Purrington
- 1Brad Young
Computed on October 19, 2026 at 12:26 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Accrington ST have 3 wins, 8 draws and 4 defeats; Bristol Rovers have 5, 2 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Gillingham(home) | 3-1 | League Two |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Oldham(away) | 0-0 | League Two |
| Oct 6, 2026 | Salford City(home) | 1-1 | EFL Trophy |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Cheltenham(home) | 2-0 | League Two |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Swindon Town(away) | 1-1 | League Two |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Shrewsbury(away) | 0-1 | League Two |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Barnet(home) | 1-3 | League Two |
| Oct 6, 2026 | Wycombe(away) | 1-4 | EFL Trophy |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Crewe(away) | 1-3 | League Two |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Exeter City(home) | 1-0 | League Two |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Accrington ST wins, 0 draws, 2 Bristol Rovers wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2026 | Bristol Rovers 2-0 Accrington ST | League Two |
| Nov 15, 2025 | Accrington ST 3-1 Bristol Rovers | League Two |
| Jan 14, 2023 | Accrington ST 2-0 Bristol Rovers | League One |
| Sep 24, 2022 | Bristol Rovers 0-1 Accrington ST | League One |
| Mar 9, 2021 | Bristol Rovers 4-1 Accrington ST | League One |
| Feb 2, 2021 | Accrington ST 6-1 Bristol Rovers | League One |
Last archived meeting: Bristol Rovers vs Accrington ST on Mar 28, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Accrington ST score 1.4 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Bristol Rovers score 1.3 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 42% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Accrington ST | 1.4 | 1.4 | 4 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
| Bristol Rovers | 1.3 | 1.8 | 4 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Accrington ST sit 10th in League Two (14 points from 11 matches) and Bristol Rovers sit 9th (15 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Bristol Rovers | 11 | 5 | 0 | 6 | 15 | 18 | 15 |
| 10 | Accrington ST | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 16 | 15 | 14 |
A question about Accrington ST vs Bristol Rovers?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Accrington ST vs Bristol Rovers?
- The Footlab AI model makes Accrington ST the favourite at 43%, against 29% for a draw and 28% for Bristol Rovers.
- Where and when is Accrington ST vs Bristol Rovers played?
- Accrington ST vs Bristol Rovers is played on April 10, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Wham Stadium, in the League Two.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 42% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.