Match

Port Vale vs Shrewsbury: prediction and stats

League TwoRegular Season - 40Kick-off on April 10, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Vale Park, Stoke-on-Trent, Staffordshire

Port ValeShrewsbury

The Footlab AI model makes Port Vale the favourite at 59%, against 24% for a draw and 17% for Shrewsbury. The most likely score is 1-0.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 4,621 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Nov 6, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Port Vale vs Shrewsbury?

Port Vale starts as the favourite with a 147-point Elo edge (1,784 vs 1,637).

59%24%17%
Port Vale winDrawShrewsbury win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Port Vale vs Shrewsbury

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Port Vale

3-5-2
  1. 11O. Hernández
  2. 36M. Watters
  1. 6J. Lawrence-Gabriel
  2. 3J. Headley
  3. 33G. Hall
  4. 10K. Dempsey
  5. 7G. Byers
  1. 25C. Humphreys
  2. 4J. Moon
  3. 5C. Hall
  1. 20M. Maroši

Shrewsbury

3-4-1-2
  1. 9G. Lloyd
  2. 13J. Davison
  1. 10T. Sang
  2. 11K. Berkoe
  3. 18K. M. Brown
  4. 2L. Hoole
  5. 17Arkelle Nicholas Cecil Jude-Boyd
  1. 6S. Stubbs
  2. 5W. Boyle
  3. 3J. Ruffels
  1. 1William Michael Brook

Computed on November 6, 2026 at 12:35 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Port Vale have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Shrewsbury have 6, 3 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Port Vale
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 31, 2026Rochdale(home)4-2League Two
Oct 27, 2026Manchester City U21(home)5-0EFL Trophy
Oct 24, 2026York(away)0-2League Two
Oct 20, 2026Gillingham(away)1-1League Two
Oct 17, 2026Chesterfield(home)1-0League Two
Shrewsbury
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 31, 2026Gillingham(home)1-2League Two
Oct 27, 2026Everton U21(home)2-1EFL Trophy
Oct 24, 2026Rotherham(away)3-3League Two
Oct 20, 2026Crawley Town(away)3-2League Two
Oct 17, 2026Bristol Rovers(home)1-0League Two

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Port Vale wins, 0 draws, 3 Shrewsbury wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Mar 9, 2024Port Vale 1-2 ShrewsburyLeague One
Nov 25, 2023Shrewsbury 2-1 Port ValeLeague One
Feb 11, 2023Shrewsbury 3-2 Port ValeLeague One
Sep 20, 2022Shrewsbury 0-4 Port ValeEFL Trophy
Sep 17, 2022Port Vale 2-1 ShrewsburyLeague One
Sep 3, 2019Port Vale 2-1 ShrewsburyEFL Trophy

Last archived meeting: Port Vale vs Shrewsbury on Mar 9, 2024

How many goals should we expect?

Port Vale score 1.2 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Shrewsbury score 1.2 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Port Vale1.21.065/153/15
Shrewsbury1.21.437/157/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Port Vale sit 19th in League Two (15 points from 12 matches) and Shrewsbury sit 15th (18 points from 14 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
15Shrewsbury14536172218
19Port Vale12435101415

A question about Port Vale vs Shrewsbury?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Ask the AI a questionOpen the full match card in the app

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Port Vale vs Shrewsbury?
The Footlab AI model makes Port Vale the favourite at 59%, against 24% for a draw and 17% for Shrewsbury.
Where and when is Port Vale vs Shrewsbury played?
Port Vale vs Shrewsbury is played on April 10, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Vale Park, in the League Two.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Port Vale and Shrewsbury

Ready to know everything about football?